Alexia Thainara vs Bruna Brasil Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

Alexia Thainara vs Bruna Brasil

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Alexia Thainara will face off with Bruna Brasil at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The opening odds have Thainara priced at -800 while Brasil is at +550.

Alexia "Burguesinha" Thainara walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-1-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Bruna Brasil measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 11-6-1. The 32-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of significant strikes, Alexia Thainara is connecting on 4.52 per min while Bruna Brasil lands 2.57 significant strikes per min. Thainara is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes she attempts while Brasil lands 56%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Burguesinha" absorbs 2.46 significant strikes per min while Brasil takes 3.59. Thainara also thwarts 65% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Brasil curbs 52% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In terms of wrestling, Alexia Thainara is the more effective grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 3.91 times per 15 min. Thainara is finishing her takedown attempts on 60% of her tries and thwarting 85% of the takedowns her opponents try. Brasil is getting her opponent to the mat on 55% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 61% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submission attempts, Thainara is the more able fighter by going for 1.7 finishes per 3 rds while Brasil tries 0.1 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Alexia Thainara went up against Loma Lookboonmee and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Lookboonmee landed 67 of 102 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Thainara finished this fight landing 110 of 202 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Lookboonmee landed 30 of 61, which means her percentage was 49%. She ended up landing 14 of 37 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Thainara ended up landing 41% of her significant strikes by landing 44 of 107. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she was 29 of 78 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Lookboonmee and 52% of them landed by Thainara were done at distance.

In the last fight for Bruna Brasil, she went up against Ketlen Souza and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Souza landed 72% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Brasil landed 80% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Brasil ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 31 of 60. She connected on 10 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. Souza ended up landing 33 of 69 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 18 of 42 aimed at the head. When discussing the strikes she fired off in this contest, Souza was 64 of 109 while Brasil connected on 65 of 101 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Israel Adesanya faces off against Joe Pyfer. Adesanya walks into the Octagon with a mark of 24-5-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'4". The switch fighter has a reach of 80". Pyfer comes in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 15-3-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding grappling, Israel Adesanya takes his opponents to the mat 0.05 times per 3 rds while Joe Pyfer gets a takedown 1.23 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Adesanya connects on 4.02 strikes per min and landing 48% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Joe Pyfer, who lands 43% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 3.47 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Niko Price is set to encounter Michael Chiesa. Chiesa walks into the cage with a mark of 19-7-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Price measures 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-10-0 (2 NC). The 36-year-old extends his reach 76". Concerning grappling, Michael Chiesa is able to deflect 67% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of his attempts. Price is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Chiesa takes 1.73 strikes per min and he is connecting on 2.03 strikes/minute. Price, notwithstanding, takes 5.61 strikes/minute and is connecting on 5.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Alexia Thainara (-800)

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