Alice Pereira vs Hailey Cowan Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds

Alice Pereira vs Hailey Cowan

UFC Vegas 115

Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Alice Pereira will enter the Octagon against Hailey Cowan at UFC Vegas 115 on Saturday, April 4, 2026. The opening line has Pereira priced at -135 while Cowan is coming in at +115.

Alice "Golden Girl" Pereira comes into this bout with a mark of 6-1-0. The 20-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 71". Hailey "All Hail" Cowan stands in at 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 7-4-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Alice Pereira connects on 2.47 per minute while Hailey Cowan connects on 2.50 significant strikes per min. Pereira connects on 31% of the significant strikes she attempts and Cowan lands 42%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Golden Girl" takes 3.00 significant strikes per min and "All Hail" allows 2.79. Pereira also thwarts 72% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Cowan is able to defend against 33% of the shots thrown.

When it comes to wrestling, Alice Pereira is the lesser skilled wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.7times per 3 rds. Pereira is getting her opponent to the mat on 12% of her tries and is defending 85% of the takedowns her opponents try. Cowan is taking her opponents to the canvas on 36% of her takedown tries and stuffing 80% of the attempts against her. Regarding submission attempts, Pereira is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes while Cowan goes for 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In her previous fight, Alice Pereira fought Montse Rendon and walked away in defeat by split decision in round 3. Rendon landed 60 of 185 total strikes that she threw in that contest. Pereira finished this fight landing 43 of 123 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Rendon ended up landing 45 of 166, which gave her a rate of 27%. She landed 31 of 136 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Pereira landed 31% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 37 of 117. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 29 of 103 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Rendon and 94% of them landed by Pereira were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Hailey Cowan, she squared up with Nora Cornolle and walked away with a loss by rear naked choke in round 2. Cornolle ended up connecting on 62% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Cowan landed 66% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Cowan landed 42% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 3 of 7. She ended up connecting on 2 of 6 significant strikes to the head. Cornolle landed 8 of 12 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 5 of 9 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that she let go in that fight, Cornolle connected on 24 of 32 while Cowan ended up landing 19 of 28 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Dione Barbosa opposes Melissa Gatto. Barbosa looks to add a victory to her career total of 8-4-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Gatto stands 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 9-2-2. The 29-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Dione Barbosa gets a takedown 2.23 times per 3 rounds and Melissa Gatto takes her opponents to the mat 1.47 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Barbosa lands 2.27 strikes per min and connects on 45% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Melissa Gatto, who lands 49% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 3.78 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Chris Duncan is set to take on Renato Moicano. Moicano comes into this bout with a mark of 20-7-1. The 36-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Duncan measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 71". Concerning wrestling, Renato Moicano is able to stop 62% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of his tries. Duncan is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of the tries he takes and deflects 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Moicano absorbs 3.57 strikes/min while he is dishing out 4.17 strikes per minute. Duncan, in contrast, absorbs 4.82 strikes/min and dishes out 5.02 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Hailey Cowan (+115)

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