Asu Almabayev vs Charles Johnson Pick, 06/27/2026 Predictions UFC Baku Odds
Asu Almabayev vs Charles Johnson
UFC Baku
Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan
Saturday, June 27, 2026
Asu Almabayev will battle Charles Johnson at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 27, 2026. The opener has Almabayev priced at -250 while Johnson is coming in at +210.
Asu "Zulfikar" Almabayev looks to add a victory to his career total of 23-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Charles "InnerG" Johnson comes in at 5'9" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 19-8-0. The 35-year-old stretches 70". Concerning significant strikes, Asu Almabayev lands 2.31 per minute while Charles Johnson is connecting on 4.77 significant strikes per minute. Almabayev connects on 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Johnson lands 49%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Zulfikar" absorbs 1.99 significant strikes per minute while "InnerG" absorbs 4.02. Almabayev also stops 53% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Johnson is able to stop 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Baku | Asu Almabayev | Charles Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -250 | +210 |
| Record | 23-3-0 | 19-8-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:58 | 12:42 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 65" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.31 | 4.77 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 49% |
Concerning grappling, Asu Almabayev is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 4.46 times per 15 min. Almabayev is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of his attempts and stopping 44% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Johnson is taking his opponents to the mat on 16% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 69% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Almabayev is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Johnson goes for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds.
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In his previous bout, Asu Almabayev faced Alex Perez and ended up getting the victory by way of a guillotine choke in round 3. Perez landed 84 of 143 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Almabayev ended the night having landed 68 of 126 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Perez ended up landing 40 of 98, which means his percentage was 40%. He landed 14 of 57 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Almabayev landed 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 36 of 90. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 24 of 76 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Perez and 88% of them landed by Almabayev were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Charles Johnson, he went up against Bruno Silva and ended up getting the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Silva ended up landing 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Johnson connected on 71% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Johnson connected on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 85 of 162. He connected on 43 of 101 significant strikes directed at the head. Silva connected on 73 of 136 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 52 of 106 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Silva connected on 101 of 171 and Johnson was 110 of 189 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ikram Aliskerov squares up with Brunno Ferreira. Aliskerov steps into the cage with a mark of 17-2-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 76". Ferreira stands in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Ikram Aliskerov takes his opponents to the mat 3.20 times per 3 rds while Brunno Ferreira is able to score a takedown 1.25 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Aliskerov connects on 6.86 strikes per min and is connecting on 64% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Brunno Ferreira, who is landing 50% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 3.77 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Michal Oleksiejczuk is set to square up against Abus Magomedov. Magomedov walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 28-7-1. The 35-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Oleksiejczuk measures in at 6'0" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 22-9-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old stretches 74". Regarding wrestling, Abus Magomedov is able to deflect 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 59% of the times he tries. Oleksiejczuk is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 52% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Magomedov absorbs 3.43 strikes/minute and he lands 3.07 strikes/min. Oleksiejczuk, on the other hand, is taking 4.50 strikes per min and is landing 5.85 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Charles Johnson (+210)
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