Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett Pick, 07/11/2026 Predictions UFC 329 Odds
Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett
UFC 329
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, July 11, 2026
Benoit Saint Denis will enter the Octagon with Paddy Pimblett at UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, 2026. The moneyline has Denis at -133 while Pimblett is coming in at +113.
Benoit "God of War" Saint Denis walks into the cage with a record of 17-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett stands in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 23-4-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Benoit Saint Denis lands 5.62 per min and Paddy Pimblett lands 5.49 significant strikes per min. Saint Denis is landing 58% of the significant strikes he attempts while Pimblett is connecting on 52%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "God of War" allows 4.09 significant strikes per minute and "The Baddy" takes 3.89. Saint Denis also defends against 42% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Pimblett is able to deflect 42% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC 329 | Benoit Saint Denis | Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -133 | +113 |
| Record | 17-3-0 (1 NC) | 23-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:10 | 10:56 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.62 | 5.49 |
| Striking Accuracy | 58% | 52% |
In terms of wrestling, Benoit Saint Denis is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents down 4.19 times per 15 min. Saint Denis is scoring a takedown on 35% of his attempts and is defending 72% of all takedown tries against him. Pimblett is finishing his takedowns on 21% of his takedown tries and thwarting 44% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Saint Denis is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 1.8 subs per 15 min while Pimblett tries 1.2 subs per 15 minutes.
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In his last bout, Benoit Saint Denis squared up with Dan Hooker and wound up getting the victory by punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Hooker ended up landing 51 of 68 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Denis ended the night having landed 170 of 205 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Hooker ended up landing 30 of 47, which means his percentage was 63%. He landed 19 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Denis ended up landing 76% of his significant strikes by landing 97 of 127. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 83 of 113 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Hooker and 20% of them connected on by Denis were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Paddy Pimblett, he battled Justin Gaethje and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Gaethje ended up landing 70% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Pimblett ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Pimblett landed 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 156 of 311. He ended up connecting on 83 of 221 significant strikes to the head. Gaethje landed 144 of 254 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 120 of 222 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Gaethje ended up connecting on 200 of 313 and Pimblett ended up landing 170 of 326 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Cory Sandhagen battles Mario Bautista. Sandhagen walks into the Octagon holding a record of 18-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Bautista comes in at 5'9" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 17-3-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 69". When it comes to grappling, Cory Sandhagen takes his opponents to the mat 1.15 times per 3 rounds and Mario Bautista scores a takedown 1.91 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Sandhagen lands an average of 4.86 strikes/minute and lands 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Mario Bautista, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 5.30 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Lone'er Kavanagh is set to square up in the Octagon against Brandon Royval. Royval steps into the Octagon with a mark of 17-9-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter stretches 68". Kavanagh measures 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 67". Regarding wrestling, Brandon Royval is preventing 45% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 75% of his tries. Kavanagh is taking his opponents down on 45% of his attempts and curbs 94% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Royval takes 4.25 strikes per minute and he lands 5.54 per minute. Kavanagh, at the same time, is taking 3.49 strikes/minute and connects on 4.13 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Paddy Pimblett (+113)
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