Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/19/2026

Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins

UFC Vegas 119

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Bia Mesquita will enter the Octagon with Melissa Mullins at UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The opening line has Mesquita coming in at -600 while Mullins is at +450.

Bia "The Lady GOAT" Mesquita comes into this fight with a mark of 7-0-0. The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Melissa "No Mess" Mullins stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 7-2-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 68". With respect to significant strikes, Bia Mesquita is landing 5.78 per minute and Melissa Mullins lands 3.71 significant strikes per minute. Mesquita lands 60% of the significant strikes she attempts and Mullins lands 50%. Regarding defense, "The Lady GOAT" allows 0.64 significant strikes per minute and "No Mess" allows 4.39. Mesquita also curbs 80% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Mullins prevents 52% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Bia Mesquita ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 119	Bia Mesquita	Melissa Mullins
Opening Odds	-600	+450
Record	7-0-0	7-2-0
Average Fight Time	4:41	11:07
Height	5'4"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	67"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.78	3.71
Striking Accuracy	60%	50%

Concerning grappling, Bia Mesquita is the more productive grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 4.81 times per 3 rds. Mesquita is scoring a takedown on 75% of her tries and stopping 15% of all takedown attempts. Mullins is scoring a takedown on 42% of the takedowns she attempts and is stopping 85% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Mesquita is the more capable fighter by attempting 3.2 subs per 15 min while Mullins attempts 0.7 subs per 15 minutes.

Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!

You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!

Get all of our Free UFC Picks

In her last bout, Bia Mesquita faced Montse Rendon and ended up getting the victory in the fight via rear naked choke in round 1. Rendon landed 0 of 8 total strikes that she let go. Mesquita finished this fight landing 31 of 40 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Rendon ended up landing 0 of 8, giving her a percentage of 0%. She ended up landing 0 of 6 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Mesquita landed 66% of her significant strikes by sticking 18 of 27. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 16 of 25 to the head. 0% of the significant strikes connected on by Rendon and 33% of them connected on by Mesquita were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Melissa Mullins, she squared up with Daria Zhelezniakova and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Zhelezniakova ended up connecting on 98% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Mullins ended up landing 95% of her significant strikes at distance. Mullins ended up landing 43% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 64 of 148. She connected on 43 of 124 significant strikes to the head. Zhelezniakova ended up landing 99 of 223 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 67 of 172 aimed at the head. Relating to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Zhelezniakova ended up connecting on 103 of 228 and Mullins was 77 of 165 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Karol Rosa takes on Luana Santos. Rosa has a career record of 19-7-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Santos stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 67". In the grappling category, Karol Rosa is able to score a takedown 1.17 times per 15 min and Luana Santos takes her opponents to the canvas 2.17 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Rosa lands 5.88 strikes/min and connecting on 56% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Luana Santos, who is landing 52% of the strikes she has thrown and is landing 2.99 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Kyoji Horiguchi is set to square up in the Octagon with Manel Kape. Kape has a career record of 22-7-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 68". Horiguchi measures 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 36-5-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 63". Regarding wrestling, Manel Kape is able to stop 81% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of the times he tries. Horiguchi is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of his attempts and is able to deflect 61% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Kape takes 4.08 strikes per minute while he is landing 5.04 strikes per minute. Horiguchi, notwithstanding, is absorbing 2.13 strikes per min and deals 3.77 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bia Mesquita (-600)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	June 19, 2026 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Nick Menken
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks