Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa Pick, 03/14/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 114 Odds
Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa
UFC Vegas 114
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, March 14, 2026
Bolaji Oki will face off with Manoel Sousa at UFC Vegas 114 on Saturday, March 14, 2026. The moneyline has Oki priced at +230 while Sousa is priced at -270.
Bolaji "The Zulu Warrior" Oki walks into the cage holding a record of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Manoel "Manumito" Sousa comes in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-1-0. The 28-year-old reaches 70". With respect to significant strikes, Bolaji Oki connects on 6.59 per min and Manoel Sousa lands 3.23 significant strikes per minute. Oki is landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Sousa lands 58%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Zulu Warrior" absorbs 5.15 significant strikes per min and "Manumito" takes 1.31. Oki also curbs 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Sousa prevents 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 114 | Bolaji Oki | Manoel Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +230 | -270 |
| Record | 10-3-0 | 13-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:56 | 13:00 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.59 | 3.23 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 58% |
In the wrestling category, Bolaji Oki is the better grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.01 times per 3 rounds. Oki is scoring a takedown on 60% of his attempts and is stuffing 66% of all takedown tries against him. Sousa is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Oki is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Sousa attempts 2.3 subs per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Bolaji Oki squared up with Mason Jones and ended up losing the fight by an elbow to the head in round 2. Jones landed 67 of 147 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Oki ended the night having landed 40 of 101 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Jones landed 57 of 136, which gave him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 52 of 128 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Oki ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 38 of 99. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 26 of 76 pointed at the head. 40% of the significant strikes landed by Jones and 89% of them landed by Oki were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Manoel Sousa, he faced off with Cristian Perez and wound up taking home the victory by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Perez ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Sousa connected on 59% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Sousa ended up connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 42 of 72. He connected on 29 of 59 significant strikes directed at the head. Perez ended up landing 17 of 38 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 9 of 27 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Perez landed 63 of 96 while Sousa ended up landing 77 of 110 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Luan Lacerda squares up in the Octagon against Hecher Sosa. Lacerda steps into the Octagon with a record of 13-3-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Sosa measures 5'9" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 14-1-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 70". In the grappling category, Luan Lacerda gets his opposition to the mat 2.29 times per 15 minutes while Hecher Sosa takes his opponents to the mat 4.00 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Lacerda connects for an average of 4.02 strikes per min and landing 46% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Hecher Sosa, who is landing 50% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 2.13 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gillian Robertson is set to square up with Amanda Lemos. Lemos holds a mark of 15-5-1. The 38-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and stands 5'4". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 65". Robertson comes in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 16-8-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 63". In the category of takedowns, Amanda Lemos curbs 64% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 62% of her tries. Robertson is taking her opponents to the mat on 40% of the attempts she tries and curbs 41% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Lemos absorbs 3.24 strikes per minute and she is landing 2.75 per minute. Robertson, on the other hand, takes 2.86 strikes/minute and is dishing out 2.86 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Manoel Sousa (-270)
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