Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza Pick, 02/07/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 113 Odds

Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza

UFC Vegas 113

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 7, 2026

Bruna Brasil will enter the Octagon with Ketlen Souza at UFC Vegas 113 on Saturday, February 7, 2026. The moneyline has Brasil coming in at +128 while Souza is priced at -148.

Bruna Brasil walks into the cage holding a mark of 11-5-1. The 32-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Ketlen "Esquentadinha" Souza measures 5'3" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 15-6-0. The 31-year-old stretches 63". When talking about significant strikes, Bruna Brasil lands 2.66 per min while Ketlen Souza connects on 4.56 significant strikes per minute. Brasil is landing 56% of the significant strikes she attempts while Souza connects on 57%. When it comes to defending in the cage, absorbs 3.82 significant strikes per min and "Esquentadinha" absorbs 4.40. Brasil also stops 52% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Souza is able to defend against 53% of the shots thrown.

In terms of wrestling, Bruna Brasil is the more skilled wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.46 times per 3 rds. Brasil is getting her opponent to the mat on 64% of the times she tries and stuffing 53% of all takedown attempts. Souza is taking her opponents to the canvas on 14% of her takedown tries and is stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding submission attempts, Brasil is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.2 subs per 3 rounds while Souza attempts 0.3 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time she fought, Bruna Brasil faced Shi Ming and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Ming ended up landing 49 of 135 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Brasil ended the night having landed 62 of 107 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Ming ended up landing 32 of 116, which means her percentage was 27%. She landed 9 of 53 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Brasil ended up landing 44% of her significant strikes by landing 31 of 70. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 19 of 50 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Ming and 77% of them connected on by Brasil were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Ketlen Souza, she squared up with Piera Rodriguez and ended up taking the loss by way of split decision in round 3. Rodriguez landed 75% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Souza ended up landing 85% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Souza ended up connecting on 54% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 56 of 103. She ended up connecting on 29 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 64 of 150 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 28 of 92 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that she let go in that fight, Rodriguez ended up connecting on 81 of 171 while Souza connected on 86 of 139 of the strikes she threw in total.

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One more match to look forward to is when Wang Cong takes on Eduarda Moura. Cong looks to add a win to her career record of 8-1-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Moura stands in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 12-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 67". When it comes to grappling, Wang Cong is able to score a takedown 1.05 times per 15 minutes and Eduarda Moura takes her opponents to the mat 3.73 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Cong tags his opponents 7.48 strikes per min and connects on 57% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Eduarda Moura, who is landing 37% of the strikes she has thrown and is landing 3.04 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Priscila Cachoeira is set to fight Klaudia Sygula. Sygula will be looking to add a win to her record of 7-2-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Cachoeira measures in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 13-7-0. The 37-year-old extends her reach 65". Concerning wrestling, Klaudia Sygula curbs 33% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 20% of the times she tries. Cachoeira is finishing her takedown tries on 33% of the tries she takes and is able to stop 67% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Sygula is taking 4.73 strikes per min and she is dealing 5.30 strikes per min. Cachoeira, at the same time, absorbs 7.23 strikes per min and is landing 4.11 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Bruna Brasil (+128)

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