Caio Borralho vs Reinier de Ridder Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/6/2026

Caio Borralho vs Reinier de Ridder

UFC 326

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Caio Borralho will enter the Octagon with Reinier de Ridder at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The opener has Borralho coming in at -230 while Ridder is coming in at +195.

Caio "The Natural" Borralho walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Reinier "RdR" de Ridder stands in at 6'4" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 21-3-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 78". With respect to significant strikes, Caio Borralho is connecting on 3.44 per min while Reinier de Ridder is landing 2.20 significant strikes per min. Borralho is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes he throws while de Ridder is connecting on 53%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Natural" allows 2.50 significant strikes per minute while "RdR" takes 2.04. Borralho also defends against 60% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while de Ridder defends against 48% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Caio Borralho predictions best bet odds

UFC 326	Caio Borralho	Reinier de Ridder
Opening Odds	-230	+195
Record	17-2-0 (1 NC)	21-3-0
Average Fight Time	14:04	13:26
Height	6'1"	6'4"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	75"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.44	2.20
Striking Accuracy	56%	53%

Concerning takedowns, Caio Borralho is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.28 times per 3 rounds. Borralho is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of his tries and is stopping 76% of all takedown tries against him. de Ridder is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his takedown tries and is stopping 50% of the tries against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Borralho is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while de Ridder looks to get 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Caio Borralho went up against Nassourdine Imavov and ended up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 5. Imavov landed 89 of 170 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Borralho walked away from this fight having landed 89 of 190 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Imavov ended up landing 81 of 162, which gave him a percentage of 50%. He finished the fight landing 53 of 118 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Borralho landed 39% of his significant strikes by landing 66 of 166. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 39 of 109 pointed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Imavov and 89% of them connected on by Borralho were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Reinier de Ridder, he faced off with Brendan Allen and ended up losing the fight via a corner stoppage in round 4. Allen connected on 4% of his significant strikes at distance while Ridder landed 66% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Ridder ended up landing 69% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 9 of 13. He connected on 4 of 5 significant strikes to the head. Allen ended up connecting on 22 of 37 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 19 of 33 to the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Allen landed 97 of 134 and Ridder ended up connecting on 61 of 72 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Rob Font goes up against Raul Rosas Jr.. Font walks into the Octagon holding a record of 22-9-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Rosas Jr. measures 5'9" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 11-1-0. The 21-year-old reaches 67". When it comes to grappling, Rob Font scores a takedown 0.74 times per 15 minutes while Raul Rosas Jr. scores a takedown 4.01 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Font connects for an average of 5.36 strikes per min and landing 45% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Raul Rosas Jr., who tags his opponent on 44% of his attempted strikes and connects on 1.51 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Michael Johnson is set to fight Drew Dober. Dober walks into the Octagon with a mark of 28-15-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Johnson stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 25-19-0. The 39-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding takedowns, Drew Dober is able to defend against 58% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 16% of his tries. Johnson is finishing his takedowns on 38% of his tries and curbs 81% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Dober is taking 4.34 strikes/minute while he is dealing 4.52 strikes per min. Johnson, on the other side, is taking 3.79 strikes/minute and is dealing 4.28 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Reinier de Ridder (+195)

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Caio Borralho vs Reinier de Ridder Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

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