Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/27/2026

Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Casey O'Neill will enter the Octagon with Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The opening moneyline has O'Neill coming in at -119 while Fernandes is priced at -101.

Casey "King" O'Neill walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Gabriella "Gabi" Fernandes comes in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 11-3-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 66". In terms of significant strikes, Casey O'Neill is landing 7.89 per minute while Gabriella Fernandes is landing 3.56 significant strikes per min. O'Neill is landing 52% of the significant strikes she attempts and Fernandes is connecting on 48%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "King" allows 5.65 significant strikes per minute while "Gabi" absorbs 5.19. O'Neill also prevents 57% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Fernandes thwarts 52% of the shots thrown in her direction.

ufc picks Casey O'Neill predictions best bet odds

UFC Seattle	Casey O'Neill	Gabriella Fernandes
Opening Odds	-119	-101
Record	10-2-0	11-3-0
Average Fight Time	11:49	13:46
Height	5'6"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	69"	66"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	7.89	3.56
Striking Accuracy	52%	48%

In the grappling category, Casey O'Neill is the more productive wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.45 times per 3 rds. O'Neill is scoring a takedown on 34% of her tries and is defending 70% of the takedowns her opponents try. Fernandes is getting her opponent to the mat on 18% of the takedowns she attempts and stopping 68% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to sub attempts, O'Neill is the more skilled technician by going for 0.7 subs per 3 rds while Fernandes goes for 0.2 subs per 15 min.

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In her last bout, Casey O'Neill went up against Luana Santos and took home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Santos landed 46 of 102 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. O'Neill ended the night having landed 113 of 227 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Santos landed 41 of 97, which gave her a percentage of 42%. She finished the fight landing 26 of 75 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, O'Neill ended up landing 43% of her significant strikes by landing 83 of 193. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 60 of 163 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Santos and 83% of them connected on by O'Neill were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Gabriella Fernandes, she went up against Julija Stoliarenko and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Stoliarenko ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Fernandes landed 98% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Fernandes connected on 51% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 59 of 114. She connected on 38 of 91 significant strikes to the head. Stoliarenko landed 61 of 161 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up connecting on 28 of 117 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that she let go, Stoliarenko ended up landing 64 of 167 while Fernandes connected on 59 of 114 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Alexia Thainara fights Bruna Brasil. Thainara walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-1-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Brasil measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 11-6-1. The 32-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of takedowns, Alexia Thainara is able to score a takedown 3.91 times per 3 rounds and Bruna Brasil takes her opponents to the canvas 1.40 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Thainara connects for an average of 4.52 strikes per min and is landing 40% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Bruna Brasil, who is landing 56% of the strikes she has thrown and is landing 2.57 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Joe Pyfer is set to square up against Israel Adesanya. Adesanya walks into the Octagon with a mark of 24-5-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'4". The switch fighter has a reach of 80". Pyfer comes in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 15-3-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 75". In terms of wrestling, Israel Adesanya defends against 76% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 11% of his tries. Pyfer is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Adesanya takes 3.20 strikes/minute while he is dealing 4.02 per min. Pyfer, on the contrary, absorbs 3.05 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.47 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Gabriella Fernandes (-101)

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Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

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