Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado Pick, 04/11/2026 Predictions UFC 327 Odds

Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado

UFC 327

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 11, 2026

Charles Radtke will enter the Octagon against Francisco Prado at UFC 327 on Saturday, April 11, 2026. The opening moneyline has Radtke priced at -185 while Prado is priced at +160.

Charles "Chuck Buffalo" Radtke has a mark of 11-5-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Francisco Prado measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-0. The 23-year-old reaches 69". When talking about significant strikes, Charles Radtke is connecting on 2.80 per minute while Francisco Prado connects on 4.09 significant strikes per minute. Radtke is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he throws and Prado connects on 43%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Chuck Buffalo" allows 2.63 significant strikes per minute while Prado absorbs 4.95. Radtke also stops 54% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Prado stops 54% of them.

In terms of wrestling, Charles Radtke is the more capable wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.32 times per 15 min. Radtke is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of the times he tries and is stuffing 86% of the takedowns his opponents try. Prado is taking his opponents down on 19% of his takedown attempts and stopping 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Radtke is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rds while Prado looks to get 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Charles Radtke faced Daniel Frunza and ended up getting the victory via rear naked choke in round 3. Frunza ended up landing 68 of 102 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Radtke walked away from this fight having landed 163 of 214 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Frunza landed 6 of 24, giving him a percentage of 25%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 16 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Radtke landed 81% of his significant strikes by landing 31 of 38. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 28 of 34 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Frunza and 12% of them connected on by Radtke were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Francisco Prado, he battled Nikolay Veretennikov and wound up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Veretennikov ended up landing 60% of his significant strikes at distance and Prado connected on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Prado ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 47 of 77. He connected on 34 of 58 significant strikes to the head. Veretennikov landed 56 of 105 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 32 of 78 aimed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Veretennikov ended up connecting on 84 of 133 and Prado connected on 64 of 94 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Tatiana Suarez battles Loopy Godinez. Suarez holds a career record of 12-1-0. The 35-year-old weighs 115 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter stretches 66". Godinez stands in at 5'2" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 14-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 61". When it comes to grappling, Tatiana Suarez gets a takedown 4.41 times per 3 rds while Loopy Godinez takes her opponents to the canvas 2.96 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Suarez lands 2.95 strikes/minute and connects on 60% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Loopy Godinez, who lands 49% of the strikes she has attempted and lands 4.51 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Carlos Ulberg is set to take on Jiri Prochazka. Prochazka holds a career record of 32-5-1. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Ulberg comes in at 6'4" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 14-1-0. The 35-year-old stretches 77". Concerning grappling, Jiri Prochazka prevents 68% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 60% of his attempts. Ulberg is taking his opponents down on 60% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Prochazka is taking 5.60 strikes per min and he is connecting on 5.69 strikes/min. Ulberg, moreover, is taking 4.04 strikes/min and is dealing 6.54 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Charles Radtke (-185)

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