Chase Hooper vs Lance Gibson Jr. Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds
Chase Hooper vs Lance Gibson Jr.
UFC Seattle
Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle
Saturday, March 28, 2026
Chase Hooper will face off against Lance Gibson Jr. at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The opening moneyline has Hooper at -350 while Jr. is coming in at +285.
Chase "The Dream" Hooper steps into the cage with a record of 16-4-1. The 26-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Lance "Fearless" Gibson Jr. measures 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 9-2-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Chase Hooper lands 4.51 per minute while Lance Gibson Jr. is landing 2.00 significant strikes per min. Hooper connects on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Gibson Jr. is landing 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Dream" allows 2.98 significant strikes per min while "Fearless" takes 4.33. Hooper also defends 39% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Gibson Jr. is able to deflect 53% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Seattle | Chase Hooper | Lance Gibson Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -350 | +285 |
| Record | 16-4-1 | 9-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:45 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6'1" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.51 | 2.00 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 41% |
In the category of takedowns, Chase Hooper is the more capable wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.49 times per 3 rds. Hooper is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his attempts and defending 55% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Gibson Jr. is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 50% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the submission, Hooper is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 2.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Gibson Jr. looks to get 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.
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The last time he fought, Chase Hooper faced Alexander Hernandez and was on the losing end of this fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Hernandez landed 18 of 39 total strikes attempted in that fight. Hooper ended the night having landed 20 of 82 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Hernandez landed 17 of 38, giving him a percentage of 44%. He landed 14 of 35 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Hooper ended up landing 24% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 20 of 82. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 7 of 62 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Hernandez and 100% of them landed by Hooper were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Lance Gibson Jr., he faced off with King Green and wound up losing the fight via split decision in round 3. Green ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Jr. landed 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Jr. landed 41% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 30 of 72. He ended up connecting on 9 of 39 significant strikes directed at the head. Green landed 65 of 141 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 25 of 77 to the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Green was 74 of 150 and Jr. connected on 35 of 77 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Navajo Stirling goes up against Bruno Lopes. Stirling holds a career record of 8-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Lopes comes in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 74". Regarding grappling, Navajo Stirling is able to score a takedown 1.15 times per 3 rds while Bruno Lopes is able to score a takedown 2.51 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Stirling is connecting on 6.13 strikes/minute and connects on 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Bruno Lopes, who tags his opponent on 43% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 2.81 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Adrian Yanez is set to enter the Octagon with Ricky Simon. Simon will be looking to add a win to his career record of 22-7-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Yanez stands in at 5'7" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of grappling, Ricky Simon is stopping 76% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 41% of his tries. Yanez is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and curbs 81% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Simon absorbs 3.85 strikes per minute and he deals 3.04 strikes per minute. Yanez, notwithstanding, takes 5.75 strikes/minute and is dealing 6.23 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chase Hooper (-350)
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