Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr Pick, 04/11/2026 Predictions UFC 327 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/10/2026

Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr

UFC 327

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 11, 2026

Cub Swanson will take on Nate Landwehr at UFC 327 on Saturday, April 11, 2026. The odds have Swanson at -110 while Landwehr is at -110.

Cub Swanson will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 30-14-0. The 42-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Nate "The Train" Landwehr stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 18-7-0. The 37-year-old stretches 72". When talking about significant strikes, Cub Swanson connects on 4.79 per min and Nate Landwehr is connecting on 5.63 significant strikes per min. Swanson lands 51% of the significant strikes he throws while Landwehr is connecting on 45%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Swanson takes 4.00 significant strikes per minute while "The Train" absorbs 5.83. Swanson also stops 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Landwehr is able to thwart 52% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Nate Landwehr predictions best bet odds

UFC 327	Cub Swanson	Nate Landwehr
Opening Odds	-110	-110
Record	30-14-0	18-7-0
Average Fight Time	11:41	9:52
Height	5'8"	5'9"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.79	5.63
Striking Accuracy	51%	45%

In the category of takedowns, Cub Swanson is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.01 times per 15 min. Swanson is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries and stuffing 63% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Landwehr is scoring a takedown on 41% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 71% of the tries against him. Regarding sub attempts, Swanson is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.4 subs per 3 rds while Landwehr tries 0.8 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Cub Swanson faced Billy Quarantillo and got a win for the night by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Quarantillo ended up landing 108 of 249 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Swanson ended the night having landed 114 of 173 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Quarantillo ended up landing 97 of 237, which gave him a rate of 40%. He landed 65 of 188 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Swanson ended up landing 62% of his significant strikes by sticking 99 of 158. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 74 of 127 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Quarantillo and 95% of them connected on by Swanson were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Nate Landwehr, he squared up with Morgan Charriere and was defeated by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Charriere connected on 95% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Landwehr ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Landwehr connected on 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 63 of 155. He ended up connecting on 54 of 142 significant strikes directed at the head. Charriere landed 67 of 131 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 41 of 100 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Charriere connected on 67 of 131 while Landwehr was 65 of 158 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Patricio Freire squares up against Aaron Pico. Freire steps into the Octagon holding a record of 37-8-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Pico comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 13-5-0. The 29-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Patricio Freire takes his opponents down 1.49 times per 15 min and Aaron Pico takes his opponents to the mat 8.96 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Freire lands 2.68 strikes/minute and connects on 43% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Aaron Pico, who tags the opposition on 44% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 3.88 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Randy Brown is set to battle Kevin Holland. Holland steps into the cage holding a mark of 28-15-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 81". Brown measures 6'3" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-7-0. The 35-year-old reaches 78". Concerning grappling, Kevin Holland is preventing 56% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 39% of the times he tries. Brown is finishing his takedown tries on 39% of the tries he takes and deflects 73% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Holland is taking 3.22 strikes/min and he is dealing 4.26 per minute. Brown, on the other hand, takes 3.33 strikes per min and is connecting on 4.49 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cub Swanson (-110)

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Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr Pick, 04/11/2026 Predictions UFC 327 Odds

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