Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida Pick, 07/11/2026 Predictions UFC 329 Odds
Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida
UFC 329
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, July 11, 2026
Damian Pinas will enter the Octagon with Cesar Almeida at UFC 329 on Saturday, July 11, 2026. The opening line has Pinas at -205 while Almeida is coming in at +175.
Damian "The Baba Yaga" Pinas will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Cesar "Cesinha" Almeida comes in at 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 7-2-0. The 38-year-old reaches 74". When talking about significant strikes, Damian Pinas lands 7.50 per min and Cesar Almeida is landing 3.46 significant strikes per minute. Pinas connects on 56% of the significant strikes he tries and Almeida is connecting on 58%. In terms of defending in the cage, "The Baba Yaga" allows 3.75 significant strikes per minute while "Cesinha" allows 2.03. Pinas also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Almeida is able to stop 46% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC 329 | Damian Pinas | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -205 | +175 |
| Record | 9-1-0 | 7-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 2:08 | 11:55 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 79" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.50 | 3.46 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 58% |
Concerning grappling, Damian Pinas is the better wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rounds. Pinas is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his attempts and defending 90% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Almeida is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 52% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing opponents, Pinas is the more apt fighter by trying 0.8 finishes per 3 rds while Almeida looks to get 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his last bout, Damian Pinas fought Wes Schultz and took home the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Schultz ended up landing 5 of 16 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Pinas finished this fight landing 22 of 30 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Schultz ended up landing 3 of 13, which gave him a percentage of 23%. He ended up landing 0 of 6 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Pinas landed 65% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 15 of 23. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 9 of 16 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Schultz and 53% of them connected on by Pinas were done at distance.
In the last bout for Cesar Almeida, he battled Cezary Oleksiejczuk and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Oleksiejczuk connected on 71% of his significant strikes at distance and Almeida landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Almeida landed 60% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 12 of 20. He ended up connecting on 2 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Oleksiejczuk ended up landing 14 of 19 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 9 of 13 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Oleksiejczuk connected on 113 of 126 while Almeida connected on 25 of 37 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
One more match to look forward to is when Ryan Gandra squares up against Zach Reese. Gandra walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Reese measures in at 6'4" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-3-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 77". Regarding grappling, Ryan Gandra scores a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min while Zach Reese takes his opponents to the mat 2.80 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Gandra tags his opponents 13.02 strikes per minute and landing 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Zach Reese, who is landing 54% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 4.48 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Cody Durden is set to take on Alessandro Costa. Costa walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-5-0. The 30-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Durden measures 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 18-10-1. The 35-year-old stretches 67". In terms of grappling, Alessandro Costa is able to curb 86% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 26% of the times he tries. Durden is taking his opponents to the mat on 49% of his attempts and stops 56% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Costa absorbs 3.70 strikes per min while he is connecting on 3.86 strikes per min. Durden, notwithstanding, is absorbing 3.94 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.24 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Damian Pinas (-205)
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