Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/27/2026

Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz

UFC Mexico

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Damian Pinas will face off against Wes Schultz at UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The line has Pinas coming in at -260 while Schultz is priced at +220.

Damian "The Baba Yaga" Pinas steps into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6' 1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Wes "Party Time" Schultz stands 6' 2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 77". Concerning significant strikes, Damian Pinas is connecting on 9.62 per min and Wes Schultz lands 5.39 significant strikes per minute. Pinas connects on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Schultz lands 46%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Baba Yaga" absorbs 7.36 significant strikes per minute while "Party Time" takes 4.74. Pinas also stops 45% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Schultz prevents 48% of them.

ufc picks Wes Schultz predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico	Damian Pinas	Wes Schultz
Opening Odds	-260	+220
Record	8-1-0	8-2-0
Average Fight Time	1:46	5:23
Height	6' 1"	6' 2"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	79"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	9.62	5.39
Striking Accuracy	50%	46%

When it comes to wrestling, Damian Pinas is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min. Pinas is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his tries and thwarting 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. Schultz is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Pinas is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes while Schultz goes for 1.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Damian Pinas fought Vitor Costa and took home the victory by way of TKO via a doctor's stoppage in round 1. Costa landed 13 of 24 total strikes attempted in that fight. Pinas walked away from this fight having landed 17 of 34 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Costa landed 13 of 24, giving him a percentage of 54%. He ended up landing 7 of 17 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Pinas ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 17 of 34. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 15 of 30 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Costa and 94% of them landed by Pinas were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Wes Schultz, he battled Mario Mingaj and wound up getting the win via suloev stretch from back control in round 1. Mingaj connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Schultz ended up connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Schultz landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 12 of 25. He ended up landing 6 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. Mingaj connected on 3 of 9 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 1 of 4 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Mingaj landed 3 of 9 and Schultz ended up connecting on 21 of 35 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ailin Perez squares up against Macy Chiasson. Perez will be looking to add a win to her record of 12-2-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and comes in at 5' 5". The switch fighter extends her reach 66". Chiasson stands in at 5' 11" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-5-0. The 34-year-old stretches 72". In the grappling category, Ailin Perez takes her opponents to the mat 4.68 times per 15 minutes while Macy Chiasson takes her opponents to the mat 2.07 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Perez is connecting on 3.10 strikes per minute and is connecting on 54% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Macy Chiasson, who connects on 46% of the strikes she has thrown and connects on 3.50 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Ernesta Kareckaite is set to encounter Sofia Montenegro. Montenegro will be looking to add a win to her career total of 6-2-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5' 6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Kareckaite stands 5' 9" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her total of 6-1-1. The 27-year-old stretches 71". In the category of takedowns, Sofia Montenegro is preventing 85% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 25% of her tries. Kareckaite is taking her opponents to the mat on 66% of her tries and is able to stop 82% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Montenegro absorbs 5.67 strikes per min and she lands 4.27 strikes/minute. Kareckaite, on the contrary, is absorbing 6.09 strikes/min and is landing 7.38 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Damian Pinas (-260)

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Damian Pinas vs Wes Schultz Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

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