Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/14/2026

Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 16, 2026

Daniel Barez will enter the Octagon against Luis Gurule at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. The opening line has Barez coming in at +112 while Gurule is at -132.

Daniel Barez looks to add a win to his career record of 17-7-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Luis "Grim" Gurule measures 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-3-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 64". When talking about significant strikes, Daniel Barez is connecting on 3.65 per min and Luis Gurule lands 4.47 significant strikes per min. Barez is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Gurule connects on 40%. In terms of defending in the cage, Barez allows 5.95 significant strikes per minute and "Grim" takes 4.74. Barez also stops 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Gurule is able to thwart 59% of them.

ufc picks Daniel Barez predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 117	Daniel Barez	Luis Gurule
Opening Odds	+112	-132
Record	17-7-0	10-3-0
Average Fight Time	11:38	12:59
Height	5'6"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	66"	64"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.65	4.47
Striking Accuracy	49%	40%

When it comes to wrestling, Daniel Barez is the more productive grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.93 times per 3 rds. Barez is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his tries and defending 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Gurule is finishing his takedown attempts on 14% of his takedown tries and defending 58% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Barez is the more capable fighter by going for 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Gurule looks to get 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Daniel Barez squared up with Andre Lima and walked away in defeat by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Lima landed 161 of 220 total strikes attempted in that contest. Barez ended the night having landed 34 of 80 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Lima landed 108 of 159, giving him a percentage of 67%. He ended up landing 59 of 99 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Barez ended up landing 41% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 33 of 79. Of those significant strikes, he was 21 of 66 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Lima and 96% of them landed by Barez were done at distance.

In the last fight for Luis Gurule, he went up against Alden Coria and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Coria ended up connecting on 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Gurule landed 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Gurule ended up connecting on 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 50 of 150. He ended up connecting on 32 of 122 significant strikes aimed at the head. Coria ended up connecting on 79 of 175 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 52 of 137 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Coria was 96 of 193 while Gurule landed 59 of 169 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ketlen Vieira faces off with Jacqueline Cavalcanti. Vieira has a record of 15-5-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Cavalcanti measures 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 70". In terms of takedowns, Ketlen Vieira is able to score a takedown 1.33 times per 15 min and Jacqueline Cavalcanti is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Vieira is connecting on 2.76 strikes per min and is connecting on 40% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Jacqueline Cavalcanti, who lands 46% of the strikes she has thrown and lands 5.65 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Polyana Viana is set to face off against Alice Ardelean. Ardelean steps into the Octagon with a mark of 11-7-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and measures 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 62". Viana stands 5'5" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 13-8-0. The 33-year-old stretches 67". Regarding takedowns, Alice Ardelean defends against 85% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 44% of the times she tries. Viana is taking her opponents down on 33% of her tries and is able to stop 35% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Ardelean absorbs 5.20 strikes/minute and she is dealing 7.35 strikes per minute. Viana, on the other hand, is taking 2.50 strikes per min and is dishing out 2.74 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Luis Gurule (-132)

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Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

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