Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith Pick, 11/07/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 124 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/4/2026

Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith

UFC Vegas 124

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 7, 2026

Davey Grant will take on Elijah Smith at UFC Vegas 124 on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The opening moneyline has Grant coming in at +247 while Smith is coming in at -300.

Davey "Dangerous" Grant will be looking to add a victory to his total of 18-8-0. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Elijah "Swift" Smith measures 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 10-1-0. The 24-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of significant strikes, Davey Grant lands 5.58 per minute and Elijah Smith is landing 4.18 significant strikes per min. Grant is connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Smith connects on 48%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Dangerous" allows 4.04 significant strikes per minute and "Swift" takes 2.96. Grant also stops 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Smith is able to defend against 46% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Davey Grant predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 124	Davey Grant	Elijah Smith
Opening Odds	+247	-300
Record	18-8-0	10-1-0
Average Fight Time	11:54	10:04
Height	5'8"	5'9"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	69"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.58	4.18
Striking Accuracy	45%	48%

Concerning grappling, Davey Grant is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.95 times per 15 minutes. Grant is scoring a takedown on 38% of his attempts and stopping 65% of all takedowns attempted on him. Smith is taking his opponents to the mat on 53% of his takedown attempts and is defending 53% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to going for the sub, Grant is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Smith tries 1.1 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Davey Grant went up against Adrian Luna Martinetti and ended up getting the victory in the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Martinetti ended up landing 100 of 199 total strikes attempted in that contest. Grant finished this fight landing 164 of 309 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Martinetti ended up landing 99 of 196, which gave him a percentage of 50%. He ended up landing 48 of 136 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Grant landed 52% of his significant strikes by sticking 162 of 307. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 56 of 183 to the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Martinetti and 91% of them connected on by Grant were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Elijah Smith, he went up against SuYoung You and took home the victory by way of rear naked choke in round 2. You connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Smith connected on 31% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Smith connected on 59% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 16 of 27. He landed 14 of 25 significant strikes aimed at the head. You ended up connecting on 3 of 3 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 3 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, You ended up landing 21 of 27 while Smith connected on 18 of 29 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Seokhyeon Ko fights Wellington Turman. Ko steps into the Octagon holding a record of 13-3-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Turman comes in at 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 18-8-0. The 30-year-old stretches 72". In terms of takedowns, Seokhyeon Ko scores a takedown 3.00 times per 15 minutes and Wellington Turman gets a takedown 1.55 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Ko lands 3.15 strikes per minute and lands 50% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Wellington Turman, who tags his opponent on 51% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 3.23 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Lucas Fernando is set to encounter Billy Elekana. Elekana has a career record of 10-2-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The southpaw fighter stretches 77". Fernando stands 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 14-3-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 80". When it comes to takedowns, Billy Elekana is able to stop 15% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 22% of the times he tries. Fernando is finishing his takedowns on 30% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 15% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Elekana is absorbing 3.59 strikes per minute and he lands 2.71 per minute. Fernando, moreover, takes 3.21 strikes per min and lands 3.71 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Elijah Smith (-300)

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Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith Pick, 11/07/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 124 Odds

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