Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa Pick, 04/18/2026 Predictions UFC Winnipeg Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/17/2026

Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa

UFC Winnipeg

Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Dennis Buzukja will battle Marcio Barbosa at UFC Winnipeg on Saturday, April 18, 2026. The opening line has Buzukja priced at +385 while Barbosa is coming in at -500.

Dennis "The Great" Buzukja will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-5-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Marcio "Ticoto" Barbosa comes in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 17-2-0. The 27-year-old reaches 70". Concerning significant strikes, Dennis Buzukja lands 4.21 per minute and Marcio Barbosa is landing 8.27 significant strikes per minute. Buzukja connects on 43% of the significant strikes he attempts and Barbosa is landing 47%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Great" allows 4.82 significant strikes per min and "Ticoto" allows 7.56. Buzukja also stops 48% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Barbosa defends against 50% of them.

ufc picks Dennis Buzukja predictions best bet odds

UFC Winnipeg	Dennis Buzukja	Marcio Barbosa
Opening Odds	+385	-500
Record	12-5-0	17-2-0
Average Fight Time	11:52	4:14
Height	5'9"	5'6"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.21	8.27
Striking Accuracy	43%	47%

In the wrestling category, Dennis Buzukja is the more capable wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.63 times per 15 minutes. Buzukja is taking his opponents to the canvas on 27% of the times he tries and stuffing 75% of all takedown tries against him. Barbosa is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 80% of the tries against him. When it comes to submission attempts, Buzukja is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Barbosa goes for 0.9 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Dennis Buzukja went up against Francis Marshall and walked away in defeat via split decision in round 3. Marshall landed 82 of 175 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Buzukja finished this fight landing 76 of 156 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Marshall ended up landing 57 of 150, which gave him a rate of 38%. He ended up landing 53 of 144 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Buzukja landed 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 66 of 145. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 46 of 110 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Marshall and 98% of them connected on by Buzukja were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Marcio Barbosa, he went up against Damon Wilson and took home the win by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Wilson ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Barbosa landed 82% of his significant strikes at distance. Barbosa ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 35 of 74. He connected on 27 of 63 significant strikes aimed at the head. Wilson landed 32 of 65 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 13 of 38 directed at the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Wilson connected on 33 of 66 while Barbosa connected on 35 of 74 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mitch Raposo squares up against Allan Nascimento. Raposo has a mark of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The switch fighter reaches 64". Nascimento comes in at 5'8" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 22-6-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 69". When it comes to grappling, Mitch Raposo gets a takedown 2.54 times per 15 min while Allan Nascimento gets a takedown 1.26 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Raposo tags his opponents 1.73 strikes per min and connecting on 36% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Allan Nascimento, who connects on 55% of his attempted strikes and lands 3.06 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Mark Vologdin is set to go up against John Castaneda. Castaneda has a career record of 21-8-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The switch fighter stretches 71". Vologdin stands in at 5'3" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 12-4-1. The 25-year-old reaches 65". Concerning grappling, John Castaneda is thwarting 73% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of his attempts. Vologdin is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries and is able to deflect 57% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Castaneda absorbs 4.94 strikes/minute and he dishes out 4.42 strikes per min. Vologdin, moreover, takes 11.00 strikes per minute and deals 7.80 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dennis Buzukja (+385)

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Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa Pick, 04/18/2026 Predictions UFC Winnipeg Odds

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