Dione Barbosa vs Melissa Gatto Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds

Dione Barbosa vs Melissa Gatto

UFC Vegas 115

Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Dione Barbosa will enter the Octagon against Melissa Gatto at UFC Vegas 115 on Saturday, April 4, 2026. The opener has Barbosa at -127 while Gatto is coming in at +107.

Dione "The Witch" Barbosa looks to add a victory to her career total of 8-4-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Melissa Gatto stands 5'5" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 9-2-2. The 29-year-old reaches 69". When talking about significant strikes, Dione Barbosa connects on 2.27 per min while Melissa Gatto lands 3.78 significant strikes per minute. Barbosa connects on 45% of the significant strikes she tries and Gatto is connecting on 49%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Witch" absorbs 2.45 significant strikes per min while Gatto takes 2.84. Barbosa also stops 66% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Gatto deflects 54% of the strikes thrown her way.

In terms of takedowns, Dione Barbosa is the better wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.23 times per 15 minutes. Barbosa is finishing her takedown attempts on 42% of her tries and is stuffing 50% of all takedown attempts. Gatto is getting her opponent to the mat on 28% of her takedown tries and is defending 63% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to subbing opponents, Barbosa is the more able fighter by going for 1.9 subs per 3 rounds while Gatto attempts 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time she fought, Dione Barbosa faced Karine Silva and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Silva ended up landing 90 of 154 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Barbosa walked away from this fight having landed 67 of 132 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Silva landed 26 of 70, giving her a percentage of 37%. She landed 11 of 50 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Barbosa ended up landing 35% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 31 of 87. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 11 of 62 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Silva and 83% of them landed by Barbosa were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Melissa Gatto, she squared up with Tamires Vidal and ended up getting the win by way of a punch to the body in round 3. Vidal ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Gatto ended up landing 73% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Gatto landed 57% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 30 of 52. She ended up connecting on 13 of 30 significant strikes to the head. Vidal landed 15 of 29 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 7 of 21 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Vidal was 50 of 66 while Gatto landed 120 of 163 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Renato Moicano squares up in the Octagon against Chris Duncan. Moicano comes into this bout with a mark of 20-7-1. The 36-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Duncan measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 71". Regarding grappling, Renato Moicano takes his opponents to the mat 1.67 times per 15 min while Chris Duncan scores a takedown 3.27 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Moicano connects on 4.17 strikes/min and is landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Chris Duncan, who lands 46% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 5.02 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Tresean Gore is set to go up against Azamat Bekoev. Bekoev will be looking to add a win to his career record of 20-4-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Gore measures 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 6-4-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 75". When it comes to takedowns, Azamat Bekoev is stopping 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 45% of his tries. Gore is taking his opponents to the mat on 75% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 88% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Bekoev absorbs 7.66 strikes per minute and he connects on 4.07 per min. Gore, on the other hand, is absorbing 7.48 strikes/min and lands 2.76 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dione Barbosa (-127)

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