Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds

Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida

UFC 334

Madison Square Garden in New York City

Saturday, November 14, 2026

Donte Johnson will face off with Cesar Almeida at UFC 334 on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The opening line has Johnson coming in at -163 while Almeida is at +143.

Donte "Lock Jaw" Johnson looks to add a victory to his record of 9-0-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 74". Cesar "Cesinha" Almeida stands 6'1" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 7-3-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 74". With respect to significant strikes, Donte Johnson is connecting on 3.36 per min while Cesar Almeida is landing 3.73 significant strikes per min. Johnson is landing 46% of the significant strikes he tries while Almeida connects on 60%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Lock Jaw" absorbs 2.11 significant strikes per minute and "Cesinha" allows 2.23. Johnson also stops 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Almeida curbs 44% of them.

In terms of takedowns, Donte Johnson is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he scores a takedown 1.87 times per 3 rounds. Johnson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 100% of his attempts and is stopping 76% of all takedown attempts. Almeida is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 53% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Johnson is the more capable fighter by trying 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds while Almeida tries 0.2 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Donte Johnson faced Eric McConico and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. McConico ended up landing 6 of 15 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Johnson finished this fight landing 11 of 31 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, McConico landed 6 of 15, giving him a percentage of 40%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 13 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Johnson landed 35% of his significant strikes by connecting on 11 of 31. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 9 of 29 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by McConico and 81% of them connected on by Johnson were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Cesar Almeida, he squared up with Damian Pinas and ended up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Pinas ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Almeida ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Almeida ended up landing 74% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 37 of 50. He ended up landing 8 of 16 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pinas ended up connecting on 25 of 33 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 12 of 20 directed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Pinas was 28 of 37 and Almeida was 39 of 52 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jared Gordon faces off against Melquizael Costa. Gordon steps into the Octagon with a record of 21-9-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Costa measures 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 26-8-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". Regarding grappling, Jared Gordon takes his opponents down 1.91 times per 15 min while Melquizael Costa takes his opponents down 1.53 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Gordon is landing 5.57 strikes/minute and connecting on 53% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Melquizael Costa, who is landing 47% of the strikes he attempts and lands 4.29 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Amanda Nunes is set to square up with Kayla Harrison. Harrison will be looking to add a victory to her total of 19-1-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Nunes measures 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 23-5-0. The 38-year-old extends her reach 69". Regarding takedowns, Kayla Harrison is able to thwart 100% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 37% of her tries. Nunes is taking her opponents down on 54% of her tries and is able to deflect 82% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Harrison absorbs 1.10 strikes per minute while she lands 4.29 per min. Nunes, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.62 strikes/minute and connects on 4.55 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cesar Almeida (+143)

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