Drew Dober vs Michael Johnson Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/6/2026

Drew Dober vs Michael Johnson

UFC 326

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Drew Dober will battle Michael Johnson at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The opener has Dober priced at -110 while Johnson is priced at -110.

Drew Dober walks into the Octagon with a mark of 28-15-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Michael "The Menace" Johnson stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 25-19-0. The 39-year-old has a wingspan of 73". When talking about significant strikes, Drew Dober is connecting on 4.52 per min while Michael Johnson lands 4.28 significant strikes per minute. Dober is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he tries and Johnson lands 39%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Dober allows 4.34 significant strikes per min while "The Menace" takes 3.79. Dober also defends 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Johnson prevents 58% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC 326	Drew Dober	Michael Johnson
Opening Odds	-110	-110
Record	28-15-0 (1 NC)	25-19-0
Average Fight Time	7:58	11:37
Height	5'8"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	70"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.52	4.28
Striking Accuracy	41%	39%

Concerning grappling, Drew Dober is the more effective wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.63 times per 15 min. Dober is finishing his takedown attempts on 16% of the times he tries and is stuffing 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. Johnson is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 81% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Dober is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds while Johnson goes for 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Drew Dober faced Kyle Prepolec and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Prepolec ended up landing 51 of 164 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Dober ended the night having landed 85 of 163 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Prepolec landed 51 of 164, which gave him a rate of 31%. He landed 36 of 139 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Dober ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 83 of 161. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 46 of 117 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Prepolec and 92% of them connected on by Dober were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Michael Johnson, he faced off with Daniel Zellhuber and took home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Zellhuber ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Johnson ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Johnson connected on 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 80 of 195. He landed 27 of 100 significant strikes aimed at the head. Zellhuber landed 52 of 182 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 19 of 125 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Zellhuber ended up connecting on 52 of 182 and Johnson landed 81 of 196 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Gregory Rodrigues faces off against Brunno Ferreira. Rodrigues will be looking to add a victory to his total of 18-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Ferreira measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 15-2-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". In the grappling category, Gregory Rodrigues takes his opponents down 1.93 times per 3 rounds while Brunno Ferreira takes his opponents to the canvas 1.29 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Rodrigues connects on 5.60 strikes per min and connecting on 51% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Brunno Ferreira, who lands 50% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.85 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Xiao Long is set to battle Cody Garbrandt. Garbrandt will be looking to add a victory to his total of 14-7-0. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 65". Long stands in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 27-10-0. The 27-year-old reaches 70". In terms of grappling, Cody Garbrandt is stopping 83% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 27% of his tries. Long is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 79% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Garbrandt is taking 3.64 strikes/minute while he is dealing 2.88 strikes/minute. Long, on the other side, takes 4.20 strikes/min and is dealing 5.25 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Michael Johnson (-110)

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Drew Dober vs Michael Johnson Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

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