Edgar Chairez vs Felipe Bunes Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/27/2026

Edgar Chairez vs Felipe Bunes

UFC Mexico

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Edgar Chairez will enter the Octagon with Felipe Bunes at UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The opening line has Chairez coming in at -325 while Bunes is coming in at +275.

Edgar "Puro Chicali" Chairez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-6-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Felipe "Felipinho" Bunes comes in at 5' 7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 14-8-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 69". Concerning significant strikes, Edgar Chairez connects on 3.44 per minute while Felipe Bunes is landing 2.93 significant strikes per min. Chairez is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Bunes is connecting on 50%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Puro Chicali" absorbs 5.08 significant strikes per min and "Felipinho" takes 4.66. Chairez also deflects 42% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Bunes is able to defend against 44% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Edgar Chairez predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico	Edgar Chairez	Felipe Bunes
Opening Odds	-325	+275
Record	12-6-0 (1 NC)	14-8-0
Average Fight Time	8:56	8:52
Height	5' 7"	5' 7"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	71"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.44	2.93
Striking Accuracy	44%	50%

In terms of grappling, Edgar Chairez is not as efficient of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.70 times per 15 min. Chairez is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries and thwarting 33% of all takedown attempts. Bunes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 22% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 40% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Chairez is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 1.7 submissions per 15 min while Bunes attempts 2.3 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Edgar Chairez squared up with CJ Vergara and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Vergara landed 6 of 13 total strikes attempted in that contest. Chairez finished this fight landing 8 of 27 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Vergara landed 6 of 13, which gave him a percentage of 46%. He ended up landing 1 of 2 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Chairez ended up landing 29% of his significant strikes by connecting on 8 of 27. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 8 of 25 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Vergara and 87% of them connected on by Chairez were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Felipe Bunes, he went up against Rafael Estevam and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Estevam ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Bunes ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Bunes connected on 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 26 of 56. He connected on 15 of 39 significant strikes to the head. Estevam connected on 33 of 70 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 22 of 50 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Estevam connected on 128 of 204 and Bunes ended up landing 38 of 75 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Imanol Rodriguez opposes Kevin Borjas. Rodriguez looks to add a win to his record of 6-0-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands 5' 4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 64". Borjas comes in at 5' 5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 10-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 68". In the grappling category, Imanol Rodriguez takes his opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 15 minutes while Kevin Borjas scores a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Rodriguez is landing 9.09 strikes/min and lands 58% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Kevin Borjas, who lands 44% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.19 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Angel Pacheco is set to take on Santiago Luna. Luna will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 7-0-0. The 21-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Pacheco stands 5' 8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 7-3-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding takedowns, Santiago Luna is thwarting 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries. Pacheco is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 28% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Luna is taking 4.29 strikes per min while he deals 5.36 strikes per minute. Pacheco, notwithstanding, takes 11.47 strikes per minute and connects on 9.50 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Felipe Bunes (+275)

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Edgar Chairez vs Felipe Bunes Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

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