Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds

Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam

UFC Vegas 115

Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Ethyn Ewing will enter the Octagon with Rafael Estevam at UFC Vegas 115 on Saturday, April 4, 2026. The opening line has Ewing coming in at -142 while Estevam is coming in at +122.

Ethyn "The Professor Finesser" Ewing looks to add a win to his record of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Rafael "Macapa" Estevam comes in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 14-0-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 69". When talking about significant strikes, Ethyn Ewing lands 5.67 per min while Rafael Estevam connects on 2.10 significant strikes per minute. Ewing is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts while Estevam is landing 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Professor Finesser" allows 5.13 significant strikes per min and "Macapa" allows 2.59. Ewing also deflects 47% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Estevam is able to curb 47% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding wrestling, Ethyn Ewing is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.00 times per 3 rounds. Ewing is scoring a takedown on 60% of the times he tries and defending 100% of all takedown attempts. Estevam is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Ewing is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.8 subs per 3 rounds while Estevam tries 0.3 subs per 15 min.

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Ethyn Ewing faced Malcolm Wellmaker and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Wellmaker ended up landing 82 of 151 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ewing finished this fight landing 99 of 179 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Wellmaker landed 77 of 146, giving him a percentage of 52%. He finished the fight landing 35 of 87 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Ewing landed 52% of his significant strikes by landing 85 of 163. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 70 of 147 aimed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes connected on by Wellmaker and 78% of them landed by Ewing were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Rafael Estevam, he faced off with Felipe Bunes and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Bunes ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Estevam ended up connecting on 75% of his significant strikes at distance. Estevam connected on 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 33 of 70. He connected on 22 of 50 significant strikes directed at the head. Bunes ended up connecting on 26 of 56 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 15 of 39 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Bunes ended up landing 38 of 75 and Estevam connected on 128 of 204 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tommy McMillen encounters Manolo Zecchini. McMillen has a record of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Zecchini stands in at 5'8" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old stretches 68". In the grappling category, When it comes to striking, McMillen tags his opponents 7.53 strikes per min and is connecting on 51% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Manolo Zecchini, who is landing 21% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.34 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Robert Ruchala is set to take on Jose Delano. Delano steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-3-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Ruchala comes in at 5'8" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 72". Concerning wrestling, Jose Delano is stopping 60% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 0% of the times he tries. Ruchala is taking his opponents down on 33% of his attempts and prevents 0% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Delano is taking 2.53 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 9.73 per minute. Ruchala, on the contrary, absorbs 3.27 strikes per minute and is dealing 2.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Rafael Estevam (+122)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Most Recent UFC Picks

• Alice Pereira vs Hailey Cowan Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Ethyn Ewing vs Rafael Estevam Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Virna Jandiroba vs Tabatha Ricci Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Azamat Bekoev vs Tresean Gore Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Jose Delano vs Robert Ruchala Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Lando Vannata vs Darrius Flowers Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Tommy McMillen vs Manolo Zecchini Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Alessandro Costa vs Stewart Nicoll Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds
• Guilherme Pat vs Thomas Petersen Pick, 04/04/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 115 Odds