Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope
UFC Vegas 123
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 31, 2026
Francis Marshall will take on Dakota Hope at UFC Vegas 123 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. The moneyline has Marshall at -221 while Hope is priced at +186.
Francis "Fire" Marshall will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Dakota "Huracan" Hope measures in at 5'6" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The fighter holds a career mark of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 68". With respect to significant strikes, Francis Marshall is landing 3.19 per min and Dakota Hope connects on 7.07 significant strikes per minute. Marshall is landing 34% of the significant strikes he throws while Hope lands 41%. Regarding defense, "Fire" allows 3.45 significant strikes per minute while "Huracan" absorbs 7.00. Marshall also curbs 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Hope is able to defend against 33% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 123 | Francis Marshall | Dakota Hope |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -221 | +186 |
| Record | 10-3-0 | 11-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:04 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.19 | 7.07 |
| Striking Accuracy | 34% | 41% |
Concerning wrestling, Francis Marshall is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.71 times per 15 minutes. Marshall is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of the times he tries and is stuffing 88% of all takedown tries against him. Hope is taking his opponents down on 33% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submission attempts, Marshall is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Hope looks to get 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet! NICK MENKEN has won 10 of 12 UFC plays and has piled up +5,150 in the octagon the last three months. He hit his top play last week and is 12-5, +5,275 this season on UFC picks rated 5.0+. Menken has a 7-Unit UFC Play (10:15 p.m.) as part of a three-fight card. Sign up below and don’t miss it! (ESPARZA has the same side.) You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our UFC Picks
In his last fight, Francis Marshall fought Lucas Brennan and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Brennan landed 20 of 48 total strikes attempted in that contest. Marshall ended the night having landed 60 of 99 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Brennan landed 9 of 36, which gave him a rate of 25%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 23 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Marshall ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 33 of 69. Of all the significant strikes, he was 26 of 59 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Brennan and 84% of them connected on by Marshall were done at a distance.
In the last bout for Dakota Hope, he squared up with Kai Kamaka III and walked away with a loss by way of split decision in round 3. III connected on 79% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Hope landed 57% of his significant strikes at distance. Hope landed 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 106 of 258. He landed 62 of 201 significant strikes to the head. III landed 105 of 159 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 44 of 94 directed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, III ended up landing 144 of 199 and Hope ended up landing 155 of 312 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Rodrigo Sezinando takes on Theodor Berggren. Sezinando walks into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Berggren measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 8-4-0. The 26-year-old reaches 75". Regarding grappling, Rodrigo Sezinando takes his opponents to the mat 3.37 times per 3 rds and Theodor Berggren is able to score a takedown 0.76 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Sezinando is landing 2.25 strikes/minute and connecting on 27% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Theodor Berggren, who tags the opposition on 35% of his attempted strikes and lands 3.49 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when JeongYeong Lee is set to fight Julian Erosa. Erosa comes into this fight with a mark of 31-14-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Lee stands 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old stretches 73". In the category of takedowns, Julian Erosa stops 61% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedowns on 43% of the times he tries. Lee is taking his opponents to the mat on 66% of his tries and thwarts 72% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Erosa absorbs 6.31 strikes/min while he is dishing out 6.18 per minute. Lee, on the other side, takes 3.82 strikes/min and is landing 3.38 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Francis Marshall (-221)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Zach Reese vs Mickey Gall Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Nick Klein vs Joe Kropschot Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Yana Santos vs Luana Santos Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
- Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds