Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott Pick, 04/18/2026 Predictions UFC Winnipeg Odds

Gilbert Burns vs Mike Malott

UFC Winnipeg

Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Gilbert Burns will take on Mike Malott at UFC Winnipeg on Saturday, April 18, 2026. The opening line has Burns priced at +260 while Malott is coming in at -310.

Gilbert "Durinho" Burns steps into the cage holding a record of 22-9-0. The 39-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Mike "Proper" Malott measures in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 13-2-1. The 34-year-old stretches 73". When talking about significant strikes, Gilbert Burns is connecting on 3.15 per minute and Mike Malott connects on 3.93 significant strikes per minute. Burns lands 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Malott connects on 48%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Durinho" absorbs 3.64 significant strikes per min and "Proper" absorbs 3.06. Burns also thwarts 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Malott deflects 56% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Gilbert Burns is the more productive grappler as he gets a takedown 2.12 times per 15 minutes. Burns is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of his attempts and is stopping 53% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Malott is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 14% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing the opposition, Burns is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.5 submissions per 15 min while Malott looks to get 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Gilbert Burns went up against Michael Morales and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Morales landed 35 of 58 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Burns finished this fight landing 5 of 18 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Morales ended up landing 33 of 56, which gave him a percentage of 58%. He ended up landing 31 of 52 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Burns ended up landing 27% of his significant strikes by landing 5 of 18. Of those significant strikes, he landed 4 of 13 pointed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Morales and 100% of them landed by Burns were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Mike Malott, he battled Kevin Holland and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Holland ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Malott connected on 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Malott ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 49 of 95. He ended up landing 35 of 73 significant strikes aimed at the head. Holland landed 52 of 137 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 23 of 96 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Holland was 76 of 162 while Malott ended up landing 50 of 99 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Kyler Phillips squares up against Charles Jourdain. Phillips steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Jourdain stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 17-8-1. The 30-year-old reaches 69". In the grappling category, Kyler Phillips is able to score a takedown 2.31 times per 15 minutes and Charles Jourdain takes his opponents down 0.33 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Phillips connects for an average of 5.04 strikes/min and connecting on 42% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Charles Jourdain, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes he has tried and lands 5.48 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jai Herbert is set to square up against Mandel Nallo. Nallo walks into the cage with a mark of 14-3-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Herbert measures in at 6'1" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-6-1. The 37-year-old stretches 77". Regarding wrestling, Mandel Nallo is preventing 80% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the times he tries. Herbert is finishing his takedown tries on 21% of his attempts and is able to stop 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Nallo takes 2.58 strikes per minute while he is connecting on 8.61 strikes per minute. Herbert, on the other hand, is absorbing 3.26 strikes/min and lands 3.07 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Gilbert Burns (+260)

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