Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/19/2026

Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez

UFC Vegas 119

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Hyder Amil will battle Christian Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The moneyline has Amil priced at +170 while Rodriguez is coming in at -200.

Hyder "The Hurricane" Amil will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 11-2-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Christian "Ceerod" Rodriguez stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding significant strikes, Hyder Amil connects on 5.81 per min while Christian Rodriguez connects on 3.85 significant strikes per minute. Amil connects on 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Rodriguez lands 50%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Hurricane" takes 3.95 significant strikes per minute while "Ceerod" allows 2.85. Amil also curbs 51% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Rodriguez is able to deflect 56% of them.

ufc picks Sean OMalley predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 119	Hyder Amil	Christian Rodriguez
Opening Odds	+170	-200
Record	11-2-0	12-4-0
Average Fight Time	8:57	12:54
Height	5'9"	5'7"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.81	3.85
Striking Accuracy	52%	50%

Concerning grappling, Hyder Amil is the lesser skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.56 times per 3 rds. Amil is getting his opponent to the mat on 18% of his tries and is defending 65% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Rodriguez is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his takedown attempts and is defending 67% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing the opposition, Amil is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.8 subs per 3 rds while Rodriguez goes for 1.1 subs per 3 rds.

Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!

You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!

Get all of our UFC Expert Picks

In his previous fight, Hyder Amil squared up with Jamall Emmers and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Emmers ended up landing 83 of 141 total strikes attempted in that fight. Amil ended the night having landed 80 of 164 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Emmers landed 50 of 101, which means his percentage was 49%. He finished the fight landing 37 of 83 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Amil ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes by sticking 47 of 125. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 94 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Emmers and 93% of them landed by Amil were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Christian Rodriguez, he faced off with Andre Fili and wound up taking the loss by way of split decision in round 3. Fili landed 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Rodriguez landed 83% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 47% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 83 of 174. He ended up connecting on 49 of 130 significant strikes directed at the head. Fili connected on 64 of 182 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 52 of 164 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Fili landed 74 of 193 while Rodriguez ended up landing 95 of 190 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Melsik Baghdasaryan opposes Murtazali Magomedov. Baghdasaryan has a career mark of 8-3-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Magomedov stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 10-0-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 70". When it comes to grappling, Melsik Baghdasaryan gets a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rds and Murtazali Magomedov is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Baghdasaryan tags his opponents 5.04 strikes/minute and connecting on 59% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Murtazali Magomedov, who is connecting on 40% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 5.57 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Andre Fili is set to take on Vinicius Oliveira. Oliveira comes into this fight holding a mark of 23-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 70". Fili measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 25-13-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 74". In the category of takedowns, Vinicius Oliveira is thwarting 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of his attempts. Fili is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his tries and deflects 71% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Oliveira absorbs 2.70 strikes per minute and he is dealing 4.73 per min. Fili, on the other side, is absorbing 4.34 strikes per minute and deals 3.88 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Hyder Amil (+170)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	June 19, 2026 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Scott Spreitzer
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks