Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/27/2026

Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas

UFC Mexico

Arena CDMX in Mexico City

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Imanol Rodriguez will face off with Kevin Borjas at UFC Mexico on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The opener has Rodriguez priced at -400 while Borjas is priced at +330.

Imanol "Himan" Rodriguez looks to add a win to his record of 6-0-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands 5' 4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 64". Kevin "El Gallo Negro" Borjas comes in at 5' 5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 10-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Imanol Rodriguez connects on 9.09 per minute while Kevin Borjas lands 4.19 significant strikes per min. Rodriguez connects on 58% of the significant strikes he attempts while Borjas is connecting on 44%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Himan" takes 2.73 significant strikes per minute while "El Gallo Negro" absorbs 5.74. Rodriguez also thwarts 60% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Borjas is able to curb 49% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Kevin Borjas predictions best bet odds

UFC Mexico	Imanol Rodriguez	Kevin Borjas
Opening Odds	-400	+330
Record	6-0-0	10-4-0
Average Fight Time	2:12	13:19
Height	5' 4"	5' 5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	64"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	9.09	4.19
Striking Accuracy	58%	44%

In the wrestling category, Imanol Rodriguez is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.90 times per 15 min. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of his tries and defending 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. Borjas is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the sub, Rodriguez is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds while Borjas goes for 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Imanol Rodriguez faced Roque Conceicao and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Conceicao ended up landing 6 of 15 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Rodriguez walked away from this fight having landed 20 of 34 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Conceicao landed 6 of 15, which means his percentage was 40%. He landed 2 of 11 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Rodriguez ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by landing 20 of 34. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 17 of 30 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Conceicao and 45% of them landed by Rodriguez were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Kevin Borjas, he faced off with Sumudaerji and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Sumudaerji ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Borjas connected on 62% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Borjas connected on 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 16 of 44. He connected on 7 of 30 significant strikes aimed at the head. Sumudaerji connected on 73 of 129 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 33 of 75 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Sumudaerji landed 91 of 150 while Borjas landed 23 of 51 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Santiago Luna squares up with Angel Pacheco. Luna will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 7-0-0. The 21-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and stands in at 5' 9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Pacheco stands 5' 8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 7-3-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of takedowns, Santiago Luna scores a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min while Angel Pacheco takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Luna lands 5.36 strikes/minute and is landing 37% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Angel Pacheco, who tags the opposition on 39% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 9.50 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jose Daniel Medina is set to enter the Octagon against Ryan Gandra. Gandra steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands 6' 1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Daniel Medina stands 6' 0" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 11-6-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 74". Concerning wrestling, Ryan Gandra curbs 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries. Daniel Medina is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 27% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Gandra is absorbing 2.11 strikes per minute and he lands 11.23 per min. Daniel Medina, moreover, takes 5.07 strikes/minute and dishes out 2.16 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Imanol Rodriguez (-400)

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Imanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 02/28/2026 Predictions UFC Mexico Odds

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