Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/27/2026

Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Israel Adesanya will enter the Octagon against Joe Pyfer at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The opener has Adesanya priced at -150 while Pyfer is at +130.

Israel "The Last Stylebender" Adesanya walks into the Octagon with a mark of 24-5-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'4". The switch fighter has a reach of 80". Joe "Bodybagz" Pyfer comes in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 15-3-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding significant strikes, Israel Adesanya is connecting on 4.02 per min while Joe Pyfer connects on 3.47 significant strikes per min. Adesanya lands 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Pyfer is connecting on 43%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Last Stylebender" absorbs 3.20 significant strikes per minute and "Bodybagz" allows 3.05. Adesanya also stops 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Pyfer is able to defend against 53% of them.

ufc picks Israel Adesanya ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Seattle	Israel Adesanya	Joe Pyfer
Opening Odds	-150	+130
Record	24-5-0	15-3-0
Average Fight Time	17:35	8:10
Height	6'4"	6'2"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	80"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.02	3.47
Striking Accuracy	48%	43%

Concerning takedowns, Israel Adesanya is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.05 times per 15 minutes. Adesanya is getting his opponent to the mat on 11% of his tries and stopping 76% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Pyfer is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of his takedown attempts and stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Adesanya is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.1 submissions per 3 rds while Pyfer goes for 1.0 submission per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, Israel Adesanya fought Nassourdine Imavov and wound up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Imavov ended up landing 18 of 34 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Adesanya walked away from this fight having landed 32 of 56 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Imavov ended up landing 15 of 31, giving him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 9 of 21 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Adesanya landed 52% of his significant strikes by sticking 26 of 50. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 9 of 28 pointed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes connected on by Imavov and 100% of them connected on by Adesanya were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Joe Pyfer, he battled Abus Magomedov and ended up getting the victory in the fight via rear naked choke in round 2. Magomedov landed 27% of his significant strikes at distance and Pyfer ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Pyfer connected on 60% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 6 of 10. He connected on 6 of 10 significant strikes to the head. Magomedov ended up connecting on 11 of 12 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 6 of 7 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that contest, Magomedov was 18 of 21 and Pyfer was 13 of 18 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Michael Chiesa enters the Octagon against Niko Price. Chiesa walks into the cage with a mark of 19-7-0. The 38-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Price measures 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-10-0 (2 NC). The 36-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of takedowns, Michael Chiesa takes his opponents to the mat 3.05 times per 15 minutes and Niko Price scores a takedown 0.98 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Chiesa tags his opponents 2.03 strikes per minute and lands 40% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Niko Price, who is landing 43% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 5.13 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Lerryan Douglas is set to clash with Julian Erosa. Erosa steps into the cage with a record of 31-13-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Douglas measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 13-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 72". When it comes to takedowns, Julian Erosa thwarts 61% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 43% of the times he tries. Douglas is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and is able to defend against 15% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Erosa is taking 6.27 strikes per minute and he deals 6.21 per minute. Douglas, on the contrary, absorbs 5.00 strikes per minute and deals 11.67 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Israel Adesanya (-150)

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Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

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