Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds

Jackson McVey vs Sedriques Dumas

UFC Vegas 116

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Jackson McVey will face off with Sedriques Dumas at UFC Vegas 116 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. The opening odds have McVey coming in at -185 while Dumas is at +160.

Jackson "The Moose" McVey has a mark of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 77". Sedriques "The Reaper" Dumas measures in at 6'2" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-4-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of significant strikes, Jackson McVey is landing 5.87 per min and Sedriques Dumas is landing 2.00 significant strikes per minute. McVey connects on 68% of the significant strikes he attempts while Dumas is landing 44%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Moose" absorbs 3.82 significant strikes per min and "The Reaper" takes 2.41. McVey also prevents 23% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Dumas is able to curb 55% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Jackson McVey is the lesser skilled grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.90 times per 15 min. McVey is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of his tries and is defending 10% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Dumas is scoring a takedown on 31% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, McVey is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.9 subs per 3 rounds while Dumas looks to get 0.2 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Jackson McVey fought Zach Reese and ended up taking the loss by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Reese landed 81 of 97 total strikes that he threw in that fight. McVey finished this fight landing 68 of 86 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Reese ended up landing 32 of 42, which means his percentage was 76%. He landed 21 of 31 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, McVey landed 76% of his significant strikes by landing 56 of 73. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 28 of 39 pointed at the head. 46% of the significant strikes landed by Reese and 16% of them landed by McVey were done at distance.

In the last fight for Sedriques Dumas, he battled Donte Johnson and took a loss on the night via guillotine choke in round 2. Johnson connected on 30% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Dumas ended up landing 60% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Dumas landed 31% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 5 of 16. He landed 0 of 10 significant strikes directed at the head. Johnson landed 10 of 18 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 9 of 17 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Johnson ended up landing 18 of 27 and Dumas connected on 12 of 23 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jafel Filho squares up against Cody Durden. Filho will be looking to add a victory to his record of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Durden measures 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 17-10-1. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 67". In the grappling category, Jafel Filho gets his opposition to the mat 2.52 times per 15 minutes while Cody Durden takes his opponents to the mat 3.89 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Filho tags his opponents 1.85 strikes per minute and is connecting on 41% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Cody Durden, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 3.34 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Victor Valenzuela is set to face off with Max Griffin. Griffin walks into the Octagon with a record of 20-12-0. The 40-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Valenzuela measures 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In the category of takedowns, Max Griffin is preventing 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his attempts. Valenzuela is taking his opponents down on 10% of the tries he takes and thwarts 10% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Griffin takes 3.70 strikes per min and he is landing 3.76 strikes/min. Valenzuela, on the other side, is taking 8.40 strikes per min and is dealing 3.36 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jackson McVey (-185)

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