Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
Jafel Filho vs Cody Durden
UFC Vegas 116
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, April 25, 2026
Jafel Filho will face off with Cody Durden at UFC Vegas 116 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. The opening line has Filho at -650 while Durden is coming in at +475.
Jafel "Pastor" Filho will be looking to add a victory to his record of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Cody "Custom Made" Durden measures 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 17-10-1. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 67". When talking about significant strikes, Jafel Filho is landing 1.85 per minute while Cody Durden connects on 3.34 significant strikes per min. Filho is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he throws and Durden is landing 44%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Pastor" takes 1.62 significant strikes per minute and "Custom Made" allows 4.19. Filho also curbs 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Durden stops 50% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 116 | Jafel Filho | Cody Durden |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -650 | +475 |
| Record | 17-4-0 | 17-10-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:56 | 9:47 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.85 | 3.34 |
| Striking Accuracy | 41% | 44% |
In terms of wrestling, Jafel Filho is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.52 times per 3 rounds. Filho is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his tries and stopping 66% of all takedown tries against him. Durden is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding subbing the opposition, Filho is the more capable fighter by going for 2.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Durden looks to get 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Jafel Filho went up against Clayton Carpenter and wound up getting the win via a kimura from half guard in round 1. Carpenter ended up landing 12 of 27 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Filho finished this fight landing 28 of 38 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Carpenter landed 7 of 21, giving him a percentage of 33%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 9 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Filho landed 38% of his significant strikes by sticking 5 of 13. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 1 of 6 to the head. 71% of the significant strikes connected on by Carpenter and 80% of them connected on by Filho were done at distance.
In the last fight for Cody Durden, he went up against Nyamjargal Tumendemberel and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Tumendemberel ended up landing 28% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Durden connected on 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Durden connected on 38% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 8 of 21. He landed 5 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. Tumendemberel ended up landing 25 of 42 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 20 of 34 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Tumendemberel landed 43 of 60 while Durden connected on 54 of 69 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Max Griffin opposes Victor Valenzuela. Griffin walks into the Octagon with a record of 20-12-0. The 40-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Valenzuela measures 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Regarding grappling, Max Griffin scores a takedown 1.28 times per 3 rds and Victor Valenzuela is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Griffin is landing 3.76 strikes/min and connecting on 47% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Victor Valenzuela, who tags the opposition on 33% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 3.36 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Joselyne Edwards is set to enter the Octagon with Norma Dumont. Dumont will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-2-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Edwards comes in at 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 17-6-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 70". When it comes to takedowns, Norma Dumont curbs 68% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 56% of her tries. Edwards is taking her opponents to the mat on 40% of the attempts she tries and defends against 61% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Dumont is taking 2.12 strikes/minute while she is dealing 3.89 strikes per min. Edwards, moreover, absorbs 3.24 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.61 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cody Durden (+475)
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