Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa
UFC 334
Madison Square Garden in New York City
Saturday, November 14, 2026
Jared Gordon will face off against Melquizael Costa at UFC 334 on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The opening moneyline has Gordon at +291 while Costa is coming in at -360.
Jared "Flash" Gordon steps into the Octagon with a record of 21-9-0 (1 NC). The 38-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Melquizael "The Dalmatian" Costa measures 5'10" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 26-8-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". Concerning significant strikes, Jared Gordon is connecting on 5.57 per minute while Melquizael Costa lands 4.29 significant strikes per minute. Gordon is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he tries while Costa connects on 47%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Flash" absorbs 4.11 significant strikes per minute and "The Dalmatian" absorbs 3.19. Gordon also defends 55% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Costa is able to thwart 50% of the shots thrown.
| UFC 334 | Jared Gordon | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +291 | -360 |
| Record | 21-9-0 (1 NC) | 26-8-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:28 | 10:46 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.57 | 4.29 |
| Striking Accuracy | 53% | 47% |
In terms of grappling, Jared Gordon is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.91 times per 15 minutes. Gordon is scoring a takedown on 34% of his attempts and is stopping 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Costa is scoring a takedown on 35% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 50% of the tries against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Gordon is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Costa tries 0.8 finishes per 15 min.
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In his previous bout, Jared Gordon went up against Jim Miller and took a loss on the night via guillotine choke in round 1. Miller ended up landing 10 of 18 total strikes attempted in that contest. Gordon walked away from this fight having landed 8 of 17 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Miller ended up landing 9 of 17, which means his percentage was 52%. He landed 5 of 13 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Gordon ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 7 of 16. Of all the significant strikes, he was 4 of 11 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Miller and 100% of them landed by Gordon were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Melquizael Costa, he squared up with Arnold Allen and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 5. Allen ended up landing 80% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Costa ended up landing 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Costa ended up connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 100 of 254. He connected on 47 of 173 significant strikes to the head. Allen landed 98 of 152 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 81 of 134 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Allen ended up landing 156 of 222 and Costa was 118 of 280 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Kayla Harrison squares up against Amanda Nunes. Harrison will be looking to add a victory to her total of 19-1-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Nunes measures 5'8" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 23-5-0. The 38-year-old extends her reach 69". When it comes to grappling, Kayla Harrison gets a takedown 2.84 times per 3 rounds while Amanda Nunes takes her opponents to the canvas 2.73 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Harrison tags his opponents 4.29 strikes per min and landing 62% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Amanda Nunes, who is landing 51% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 4.55 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bia Mesquita is set to enter the Octagon against Macy Chiasson. Chiasson comes into this bout holding a record of 11-6-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Mesquita comes in at 5'4" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 8-0-0. The 35-year-old stretches 67". In terms of grappling, Macy Chiasson is stopping 62% of her opponents takedown tries and is getting her opponent to the mat on 35% of her tries. Mesquita is taking her opponents down on 75% of the tries she takes and is able to defend against 15% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Chiasson takes 2.76 strikes/minute and she lands 3.21 strikes/min. Mesquita, on the other side, is absorbing 1.27 strikes/min and lands 4.52 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Jared Gordon (+291)
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