Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov

UFC Vegas 123

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani will take on Farman Hasanov at UFC Vegas 123 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. The opening moneyline has Lebosnoyani at -295 while Hasanov is at +243.

Jean-Paul "JPL" Lebosnoyani walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Farman "The Lion" Hasanov stands 5'11" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 5-0-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani lands 4.14 per min and Farman Hasanov is connecting on 1.40 significant strikes per minute. Lebosnoyani is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempts and Hasanov is connecting on 51%. In terms of defending in the cage, "JPL" takes 4.05 significant strikes per minute and "The Lion" allows 1.00. Lebosnoyani also defends 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Hasanov is able to curb 70% of the strikes thrown his way.

Regarding takedowns, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 2.89 times per 15 minutes. Lebosnoyani is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of his attempts and thwarting 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Hasanov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 62% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 15% of the attempts against him. In terms of submissions, Lebosnoyani is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 1.9 finishes per 3 rds while Hasanov tries 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani faced Seokhyeon Ko and ended up getting the victory in the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Ko ended up landing 80 of 186 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Lebosnoyani walked away from this fight having landed 67 of 168 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Ko landed 66 of 168, which gave him a rate of 39%. He landed 55 of 153 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Lebosnoyani landed 34% of his significant strikes by sticking 52 of 152. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 35 of 125 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Ko and 78% of them landed by Lebosnoyani were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Farman Hasanov, he squared up with Eric Nolan and took home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Nolan landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Hasanov connected on 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Hasanov connected on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 21 of 41. He connected on 20 of 39 significant strikes aimed at the head. Nolan ended up connecting on 15 of 51 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 14 of 50 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Nolan ended up connecting on 29 of 67 and Hasanov was 53 of 87 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Francis Marshall meets Dakota Hope. Marshall will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Hope measures in at 5'6" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The fighter holds a career mark of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 68". Regarding grappling, Francis Marshall is able to score a takedown 2.71 times per 3 rds while Dakota Hope is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Marshall lands an average of 3.19 strikes/min and lands 34% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Dakota Hope, who tags the opposition on 41% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 7.07 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Theodor Berggren is set to fight Rodrigo Sezinando. Sezinando walks into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Berggren measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 8-4-0. The 26-year-old reaches 75". When it comes to takedowns, Rodrigo Sezinando prevents 66% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of his attempts. Berggren is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts and is able to thwart 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Sezinando absorbs 8.76 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 2.25 strikes per minute. Berggren, at the same time, absorbs 10.78 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.49 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Farman Hasanov (+243)

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