Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott Pick, 01/31/2026 Predictions UFC 325 Odds

Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott

UFC 325

Qudos Bank Arena in South Wales, Australia

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Jonathan Micallef will take on Oban Elliott at UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The opening odds have Micallef coming in at -130 while Elliott is coming in at +110.

Jonathan "The Captain" Micallef looks to add a win to his career record of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 77". Oban "The Welsh Gangster" Elliott stands 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 12-3-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Jonathan Micallef is landing 4.77 per minute while Oban Elliott lands 3.50 significant strikes per minute. Micallef is landing 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Elliott lands 48%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Captain" absorbs 4.00 significant strikes per minute and "The Welsh Gangster" takes 2.24. Micallef also deflects 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Elliott prevents 60% of the shots thrown.

Concerning grappling, Jonathan Micallef is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.83 times per 15 min. Micallef is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries and is stopping 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Elliott is finishing his takedown attempts on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 55% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Micallef is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Elliott attempts 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Jonathan Micallef faced Kevin Jousset and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Jousset landed 71 of 173 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Micallef finished this fight landing 89 of 197 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Jousset landed 67 of 168, which gave him a percentage of 39%. He finished the fight landing 32 of 112 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Micallef ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 85 of 192. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 52 of 151 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Jousset and 97% of them connected on by Micallef were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Oban Elliott, he fought Seokhyeon Ko and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Ko ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Elliott ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Elliott ended up landing 32% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 10 of 31. He connected on 2 of 20 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ko landed 33 of 61 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 25 of 51 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Ko was 80 of 127 while Elliott ended up landing 19 of 40 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Kaan Ofli goes up against Zha Yi. Ofli steps into the cage holding a record of 13-4-1. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 66". Yi stands 5'7" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 26-5-0. The 29-year-old reaches 71". In terms of takedowns, Kaan Ofli takes his opponents down 0.61 times per 3 rds while Zha Yi takes his opponents to the mat 3.51 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Ofli connects for an average of 1.79 strikes/minute and is landing 46% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Zha Yi, who is connecting on 45% of his attempted strikes and connects on 2.97 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Dom Mar Fan is set to square up with Sangwook Kim. Kim looks to add a win to his career total of 13-3-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Mar Fan comes in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 8-2-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In terms of wrestling, Sangwook Kim is able to curb 71% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 29% of the times he tries. Mar Fan is taking his opponents down on 62% of the tries he takes and prevents 20% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Kim takes 5.49 strikes per minute and he deals 5.35 strikes per minute. Mar Fan, notwithstanding, is absorbing 1.47 strikes/min and lands 2.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Jonathan Micallef (-130)

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