Jonathan Micallef vs Themba Gorimbo Pick, 05/02/2026 Predictions UFC Perth Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/1/2026

Jonathan Micallef vs Themba Gorimbo

UFC Perth

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, May 2, 2026

Jonathan Micallef will face off against Themba Gorimbo at UFC Perth on Saturday, May 2, 2026. The opening line has Micallef coming in at -220 while Gorimbo is at +185.

Jonathan "The Captain" Micallef will be looking to add a victory to his total of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter reaches 77". Themba "Mamba" Gorimbo stands in at 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 14-6-0. The 35-year-old stretches 77". When talking about significant strikes, Jonathan Micallef lands 3.96 per min while Themba Gorimbo is connecting on 2.72 significant strikes per min. Micallef lands 41% of the significant strikes he attempts and Gorimbo lands 60%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Captain" allows 4.22 significant strikes per minute while "Mamba" absorbs 1.32. Micallef also stops 56% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Gorimbo curbs 51% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Themba Gorimbo predictions best bet odds

UFC Perth	Jonathan Micallef	Themba Gorimbo
Opening Odds	-220	+185
Record	9-1-0	14-6-0
Average Fight Time	8:51	9:43
Height	6'0"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	77"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.96	2.72
Striking Accuracy	41%	60%

Regarding takedowns, Jonathan Micallef is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.13 times per 3 rds. Micallef is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of his attempts and is stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. Gorimbo is taking his opponents down on 65% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 72% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Micallef is the more able fighter by attempting 1.1 finishes per 15 minutes while Gorimbo goes for 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Jonathan Micallef squared up with Oban Elliott and ended up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Elliott ended up landing 47 of 89 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Micallef finished this fight landing 30 of 70 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Elliott landed 40 of 82, giving him a percentage of 48%. He landed 34 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Micallef landed 32% of his significant strikes by landing 19 of 59. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 13 of 49 pointed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Elliott and 84% of them connected on by Micallef were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Themba Gorimbo, he squared up with Jeremiah Wells and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Wells ended up landing 65% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Gorimbo connected on 83% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Gorimbo ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 18 of 33. He ended up connecting on 8 of 22 significant strikes directed at the head. Wells landed 32 of 53 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 23 of 43 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Wells landed 59 of 84 while Gorimbo ended up landing 80 of 102 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Dom Mar Fan goes up against Kody Steele. Mar Fan will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Steele stands 5'9" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 7-1-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 71". When it comes to grappling, Dom Mar Fan takes his opponents to the mat 2.00 times per 3 rds while Kody Steele is able to score a takedown 0.62 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Mar Fan is landing 3.71 strikes/minute and landing 56% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Kody Steele, who is landing 32% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 4.44 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Carlos Prates is set to battle Jack Della Maddalena. Della Maddalena holds a mark of 18-3-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter extends his reach 73". Prates measures 6'1" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 23-7-0. The 32-year-old reaches 78". In the category of takedowns, Jack Della Maddalena is thwarting 64% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his attempts. Prates is taking his opponents down on 80% of his attempts and deflects 80% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Della Maddalena takes 3.84 strikes/minute while he connects on 5.57 strikes per minute. Prates, in contrast, is absorbing 4.53 strikes per min and lands 3.77 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Themba Gorimbo (+185)

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Jonathan Micallef vs Themba Gorimbo Pick, 05/02/2026 Predictions UFC Perth Odds

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