Jordan Leavitt vs Yadier del Valle Pick, 02/21/2026 Predictions UFC Houston Odds

Jordan Leavitt vs Yadier del Valle

UFC Houston

Toyota Center in Houston, TX

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Jordan Leavitt will face off with Yadier del Valle at UFC Houston on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The opening odds have Leavitt coming in at +330 while Valle is at -400.

Jordan "The Monkey King" Leavitt comes into this bout with a record of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Yadier "The Cuban Problem" del Valle stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-0-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding significant strikes, Jordan Leavitt is landing 2.49 per min and Yadier del Valle lands 6.25 significant strikes per minute. Leavitt lands 61% of the significant strikes he throws while del Valle is landing 67%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Monkey King" allows 1.79 significant strikes per min and "The Cuban Problem" absorbs 2.87. Leavitt also defends against 57% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while del Valle stops 52% of the shots thrown.

Concerning wrestling, Jordan Leavitt is the more skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.92 times per 3 rounds. Leavitt is scoring a takedown on 30% of his attempts and is stopping 30% of all takedown attempts. del Valle is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of his takedown attempts and defending 75% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to sub attempts, Leavitt is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 1.3 submissions per 15 min while del Valle attempts 3.5 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Jordan Leavitt squared up with Kurt Holobaugh and wound up taking home the victory by way of an anaconda choke in round 1. Holobaugh ended up landing 7 of 9 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Leavitt ended the night having landed 2 of 3 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Holobaugh landed 0 of 1, giving him a percentage of 0%. He landed 0 of 1 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Leavitt landed 100% of his significant strikes by connecting on 1 of 1. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 1 of 1 aimed at the head. 33% of the significant strikes connected on by Holobaugh and 100% of them connected on by Leavitt were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Yadier del Valle, he fought Isaac Dulgarian and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Dulgarian ended up landing 33% of his significant strikes at distance and Valle landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Valle ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 1 of 1. He ended up landing 0 of 0 significant strikes directed at the head. Dulgarian landed 0 of 1 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 1 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Dulgarian was 3 of 6 while Valle ended up landing 28 of 43 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Nora Cornolle enters the Octagon against Joselyne Edwards. Cornolle steps into the cage with a mark of 9-3-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Edwards stands 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Nora Cornolle takes her opponents to the mat 0.25 times per 3 rounds and Joselyne Edwards takes her opponents to the canvas 1.29 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Cornolle is connecting on 2.75 strikes/min and connects on 54% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Joselyne Edwards, who is landing 53% of the strikes she has attempted and connects on 4.73 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Carli Judice is set to square up in the Octagon with Juliana Miller. Miller looks to add a win to her record of 5-3-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Judice comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to her career record of 5-2-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 68". In terms of grappling, Juliana Miller is stopping 44% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 38% of her tries. Judice is taking her opponents to the mat on 25% of her tries and deflects 77% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, Miller absorbs 3.78 strikes/min and she is dealing 2.73 strikes/minute. Judice, on the contrary, is absorbing 8.08 strikes/minute and connects on 10.73 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jordan Leavitt (+330)

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