Josh Hokit vs Denzel Freeman Pick, 01/24/2026 Predictions UFC 324 Odds
Josh Hokit vs Denzel Freeman
UFC 324
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, January 24, 2026
Josh Hokit will face off against Denzel Freeman at UFC 324 on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The opening odds have Hokit at -215 while Freeman is at +185.
Josh Hokit steps into the cage with a mark of 7-0-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 236 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Denzel "Luke Fox" Freeman stands 6'1" and is weighing in at 265 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 7-1-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 77". Concerning significant strikes, Josh Hokit is landing 5.12 per minute while Denzel Freeman lands 3.27 significant strikes per min. Hokit connects on 69% of the significant strikes he throws while Freeman connects on 62%. In terms of defending themselves, Hokit absorbs 1.42 significant strikes per min and "Luke Fox" takes 2.07. Hokit also stops 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Freeman defends against 61% of the shots thrown.
| UFC 324 | Josh Hokit | Denzel Freeman |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -215 | +185 |
| Record | 7-0-0 | 7-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 3:31 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'1" |
| Weight | 236 lbs | 265 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 77" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.12 | 3.27 |
| Striking Accuracy | 69% | 62% |
Regarding grappling, Josh Hokit is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 12.80 times per 3 rounds. Hokit is scoring a takedown on 46% of the times he tries and stuffing 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Freeman is scoring a takedown on 15% of his takedown tries and defending 15% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Hokit is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.2 subs per 15 min while Freeman attempts 0.7 subs per 15 min.
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In his previous fight, Josh Hokit went up against Max Gimenis and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Gimenis ended up landing 3 of 7 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Hokit finished this fight landing 11 of 19 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Gimenis landed 3 of 7, which gave him a rate of 42%. He ended up landing 0 of 4 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Hokit ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by connecting on 9 of 17. Of those significant strikes, he was 9 of 17 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Gimenis and 77% of them landed by Hokit were done at distance.
In the last fight for Denzel Freeman, he went up against Marek Bujlo and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Bujlo landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Freeman landed 91% of his significant strikes at distance. Freeman connected on 62% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 49 of 79. He landed 19 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. Bujlo ended up landing 31 of 80 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 3 of 22 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Bujlo ended up connecting on 31 of 80 while Freeman ended up connecting on 49 of 79 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ricky Turcios opposes Cameron Smotherman. Turcios comes into this fight with a record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Smotherman stands 5'9" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 12-6-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 69". In the grappling category, Ricky Turcios is averaging a takedown 0.91 times per 3 rounds and Cameron Smotherman takes his opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Turcios lands an average of 4.73 strikes per minute and is landing 40% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Cameron Smotherman, who lands 37% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.07 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Ty Miller is set to fight Adam Fugitt. Fugitt will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-5-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Miller comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 6-0-0 (1 NC). The 25-year-old has a reach of 77". Concerning wrestling, Adam Fugitt prevents 50% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times he tries. Miller is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the tries he takes and curbs 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Fugitt absorbs 4.54 strikes per min and he is landing 4.59 per min. Miller, notwithstanding, absorbs 3.80 strikes per min and is landing 5.60 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denzel Freeman (+185)
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