Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee Pick, 10/31/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 123 Odds
Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee
UFC Vegas 123
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 31, 2026
Julian Erosa will face off with JeongYeong Lee at UFC Vegas 123 on Saturday, October 31, 2026. The moneyline has Erosa at +136 while Lee is coming in at -160.
Julian "Juicy J" Erosa comes into this fight with a mark of 31-14-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". JeongYeong "Korean Tiger" Lee stands 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 11-3-0. The 30-year-old stretches 73". With respect to significant strikes, Julian Erosa is connecting on 6.18 per minute and JeongYeong Lee connects on 3.38 significant strikes per minute. Erosa is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Lee is connecting on 49%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Juicy J" allows 6.31 significant strikes per min and "Korean Tiger" allows 3.82. Erosa also defends against 48% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Lee is able to thwart 50% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 123 | Julian Erosa | JeongYeong Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +136 | -160 |
| Record | 31-14-0 | 11-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:45 | 7:54 |
| Height | 6'1" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 73" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.18 | 3.38 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 49% |
When it comes to wrestling, Julian Erosa is the more effective wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.73 times per 3 rds. Erosa is getting his opponent to the mat on 43% of his tries and stopping 61% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Lee is taking his opponents to the mat on 66% of his takedown attempts and is defending 72% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Erosa is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds while Lee looks to get 0.3 submissions per 15 min.
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In his previous fight, Julian Erosa went up against Lerryan Douglas and walked away in defeat by a punch to the head in round 1. Douglas ended up landing 30 of 49 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Erosa walked away from this fight having landed 18 of 47 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Douglas ended up landing 29 of 48, which gave him a rate of 60%. He finished the fight landing 18 of 37 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Erosa ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes by landing 17 of 46. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 13 of 40 aimed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Douglas and 94% of them landed by Erosa were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for JeongYeong Lee, he squared up with Daniel Santos and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Santos ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Lee connected on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Lee ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 68 of 150. He connected on 40 of 112 significant strikes to the head. Santos landed 90 of 184 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 59 of 136 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Santos was 119 of 213 while Lee was 107 of 190 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Zach Reese faces off against Mickey Gall. Reese comes into this bout holding a record of 10-4-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 6'4". The switch fighter has an arm span of 77". Gall measures 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-7-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 74". In terms of takedowns, Zach Reese is averaging a takedown 2.74 times per 15 minutes and Mickey Gall is able to score a takedown 1.15 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Reese lands an average of 4.47 strikes per min and is landing 54% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Mickey Gall, who is landing 49% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 3.50 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Joe Kropschot is set to square up against Nick Klein. Klein walks into the cage holding a mark of 6-3-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Kropschot stands 6'3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of wrestling, Nick Klein is able to thwart 66% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 35% of his attempts. Kropschot is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the attempts he tries and defends against 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Klein is taking 3.41 strikes/min while he is dealing 2.51 strikes per min. Kropschot, on the other hand, is absorbing 3.93 strikes/minute and is landing 7.93 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Julian Erosa (+136)
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