Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana Pick, 01/31/2026 Predictions UFC 325 Odds

Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana

UFC 325

Qudos Bank Arena in South Wales, Australia

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Junior Tafa will enter the Octagon with Billy Elekana at UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The odds have Tafa at +210 while Elekana is coming in at -250.

Junior "The Juggernaut" Tafa holds a career record of 6-4-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Billy "Son of Susie" Elekana comes in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 77". Regarding significant strikes, Junior Tafa is landing 3.19 per min while Billy Elekana is connecting on 2.66 significant strikes per minute. Tafa is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he throws and Elekana is landing 60%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Juggernaut" absorbs 2.49 significant strikes per minute while "Son of Susie" absorbs 3.28. Tafa also stops 51% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Elekana curbs 46% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Junior Tafa is the more productive grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.60 times per 15 min. Tafa is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is stuffing 69% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Elekana is scoring a takedown on 25% of his takedown tries and is stopping 15% of the attempts against him. In terms of going for the submission, Tafa is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Elekana goes for 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Junior Tafa squared up with Tuco Tokkos and walked away in defeat by an arm triangle in round 2. Tokkos landed 31 of 57 total strikes attempted in that fight. Tafa ended the night having landed 25 of 39 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Tokkos ended up landing 11 of 22, which means his percentage was 50%. He finished the fight landing 7 of 17 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Tafa landed 63% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 24 of 38. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 21 of 35 to the head. 36% of the significant strikes connected on by Tokkos and 25% of them connected on by Tafa were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Billy Elekana, he fought Kevin Christian and ended up getting the victory by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Christian connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Elekana ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Elekana landed 73% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 17 of 23. He connected on 11 of 15 significant strikes aimed at the head. Christian ended up landing 14 of 17 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 0 of 3 to the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Christian was 14 of 17 and Elekana ended up landing 19 of 25 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Cam Rowston encounters Cody Brundage. Rowston walks into the cage holding a record of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Brundage comes in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 11-7-1 (1 NC). The 31-year-old reaches 72". In the grappling category, Cam Rowston is averaging a takedown 0.73 times per 3 rounds while Cody Brundage scores a takedown 2.05 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Rowston connects on 3.39 strikes per min and is connecting on 45% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Cody Brundage, who connects on 51% of the strikes he attempts and lands 2.20 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Torrez Finney is set to square up with Jacob Malkoun. Malkoun holds a record of 8-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Finney comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old reaches 75". In the category of takedowns, Jacob Malkoun thwarts 20% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of his tries. Finney is taking his opponents down on 60% of the attempts he tries and defends against 15% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Malkoun absorbs 2.48 strikes per minute and he is landing 3.86 strikes/min. Finney, in contrast, absorbs 1.74 strikes per min and dishes out 1.77 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Billy Elekana (-250)

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