Kaan Ofli vs Javier Reyes Pick, 06/27/2026 Predictions UFC Baku Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/25/2026

Kaan Ofli vs Javier Reyes

UFC Baku

Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan

Saturday, June 27, 2026

Kaan Ofli will take on Javier Reyes at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 27, 2026. The odds have Ofli at +157 while Reyes is at -182.

Kaan "Genghis" Ofli has a career record of 14-4-1. The 33-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 66". Javier "Blair" Reyes measures 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 23-5-0. The 32-year-old reaches 73". With respect to significant strikes, Kaan Ofli connects on 2.33 per min while Javier Reyes connects on 8.91 significant strikes per min. Ofli lands 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Reyes is landing 55%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Genghis" takes 3.34 significant strikes per minute and "Blair" allows 2.53. Ofli also defends 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Reyes stops 47% of them.

ufc picks Kaan Ofli predictions best bet odds

UFC Baku	Kaan Ofli	Javier Reyes
Opening Odds	+157	-182
Record	14-4-1	23-5-0
Average Fight Time	9:53	3:46
Height	5'7"	5'7"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	66"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.33	8.91
Striking Accuracy	45%	55%

In terms of takedowns, Kaan Ofli is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.38 times per 15 minutes. Ofli is scoring a takedown on 7% of his attempts and thwarting 15% of the takedowns his opponents try. Reyes is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 50% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Ofli is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Reyes attempts 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Kaan Ofli fought Yizha and ended up getting the win by majority decision in round 3. Yizha landed 75 of 133 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Ofli walked away from this fight having landed 53 of 114 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Yizha landed 68 of 124, giving him a percentage of 54%. He ended up landing 44 of 93 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Ofli ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 48 of 107. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 22 of 78 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Yizha and 79% of them connected on by Ofli were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Javier Reyes, he battled Douglas Silva de Andrade and ended up getting the victory in the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Andrade landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Reyes ended up landing 19% of his significant strikes at distance. Reyes landed 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 46 of 75. He ended up landing 42 of 69 significant strikes directed at the head. Andrade connected on 17 of 27 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 8 of 15 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Andrade ended up landing 19 of 29 and Reyes was 87 of 125 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Bekzat Almakhan squares up against Jean Matsumoto. Almakhan walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Matsumoto measures 5'6" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 68". In the grappling category, Bekzat Almakhan is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds while Jean Matsumoto takes his opponents to the mat 3.00 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Almakhan connects for an average of 1.61 strikes per minute and connecting on 34% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Jean Matsumoto, who lands 39% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 5.37 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Manuel Torres is set to go up against Rafael Fiziev. Fiziev steps into the cage with a record of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 71". Torres measures in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-3-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 73". Concerning wrestling, Rafael Fiziev prevents 90% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 66% of the times he tries. Torres is taking his opponents down on 66% of his attempts and stops 90% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Fiziev is absorbing 4.84 strikes per min and he lands 4.71 strikes/min. Torres, notwithstanding, takes 4.08 strikes/min and is dealing 7.29 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kaan Ofli (+157)

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Start:	June 25, 2026 @ 9:15 PM
Expert:	Raphael Esparza (VSI)
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Kaan Ofli vs Javier Reyes Pick, 06/27/2026 Predictions UFC Baku Odds

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