Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes Pick, 11/07/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 124 Odds
Karine Silva vs Gabriella Fernandes
UFC Vegas 124
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, November 7, 2026
Karine Silva will take on Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Vegas 124 on Saturday, November 7, 2026. The moneyline has Silva priced at -222 while Fernandes is priced at +186.
Karine "Killer" Silva has a record of 19-7-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Gabriella "Gabi" Fernandes comes in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-4-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding significant strikes, Karine Silva is landing 2.24 per min and Gabriella Fernandes is landing 3.51 significant strikes per minute. Silva is landing 38% of the significant strikes she attempts while Fernandes is connecting on 46%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Killer" allows 2.74 significant strikes per minute while "Gabi" absorbs 5.31. Silva also prevents 52% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Fernandes stops 53% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 124 | Karine Silva | Gabriella Fernandes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -222 | +186 |
| Record | 19-7-0 | 11-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:23 | 12:00 |
| Height | 5'5" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 66" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.24 | 3.51 |
| Striking Accuracy | 38% | 46% |
In terms of takedowns, Karine Silva is the more competent wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.93 times per 3 rounds. Silva is scoring a takedown on 50% of her tries and stuffing 26% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Fernandes is getting her opponent to the mat on 18% of the takedowns she tries and stopping 68% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Silva is the more able fighter by attempting 1.6 submissions per 3 rds while Fernandes goes for 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.
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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Karine Silva squared up with Jasmine Jasudavicius and ended up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Jasudavicius landed 72 of 138 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Silva walked away from this fight having landed 88 of 127 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jasudavicius landed 18 of 76, which gave her a percentage of 23%. She landed 11 of 65 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Silva ended up landing 34% of her significant strikes by sticking 15 of 43. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 5 of 30 to the head. 94% of the significant strikes landed by Jasudavicius and 93% of them landed by Silva were thrown at distance.
In the last fight for Gabriella Fernandes, she battled Casey O'Neill and took a loss on the night via a punch to the head in round 1. O'Neill ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Fernandes landed 100% of her significant strikes at distance. Fernandes connected on 24% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 8 of 33. She landed 3 of 27 significant strikes directed at the head. O'Neill ended up connecting on 25 of 66 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 16 of 54 to the head. Discussing the strikes she fired off in this contest, O'Neill ended up landing 25 of 66 and Fernandes connected on 8 of 33 of all the strikes she attempted.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Priscila Cachoeira takes on Nina Milosevic. Cachoeira walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-9-0. The 38-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Milosevic stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 9-1-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding grappling, Priscila Cachoeira gets a takedown 0.37 times per 15 minutes while Nina Milosevic takes her opponents to the canvas 0.80 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Cachoeira tags his opponents 4.35 strikes per min and lands 44% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Nina Milosevic, who lands 53% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 5.70 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Johnny Walker is set to clash with Waldo Cortes Acosta. Cortes Acosta walks into the cage holding a record of 17-4-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 260 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 78". Walker measures in at 6'6" and weighs in at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 23-10-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 82". In terms of grappling, Waldo Cortes Acosta deflects 69% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries. Walker is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Cortes Acosta takes 3.44 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 5.03 per min. Walker, on the other side, takes 2.99 strikes/minute and is landing 3.98 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Gabriella Fernandes (+186)
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