Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/19/2026

Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos

UFC Vegas 119

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Karol Rosa will take on Luana Santos at UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The line has Rosa at -108 while Santos is at -112.

Karol Rosa has a career record of 19-7-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Luana Santos stands 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old extends her reach 67". When talking about significant strikes, Karol Rosa is connecting on 5.88 per minute and Luana Santos is landing 2.99 significant strikes per min. Rosa lands 56% of the significant strikes she tries and Santos lands 52%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Rosa takes 4.59 significant strikes per min and Santos allows 2.93. Rosa also stops 49% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Santos prevents 63% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Karol Rosa predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 119	Karol Rosa	Luana Santos
Opening Odds	-108	-112
Record	19-7-0	10-2-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	10:21
Height	5'5"	5'6"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	67"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.88	2.99
Striking Accuracy	56%	52%

Concerning wrestling, Karol Rosa is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.17 times per 3 rds. Rosa is scoring a takedown on 48% of her tries and stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Santos is getting her opponent to the mat on 47% of the takedowns she tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Rosa is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Santos looks to get 1.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In her last fight, Karol Rosa fought Nora Cornolle and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Cornolle ended up landing 75 of 98 total strikes attempted in that contest. Rosa walked away from this fight having landed 190 of 224 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Cornolle ended up landing 27 of 47, which gave her a percentage of 57%. She finished the fight landing 15 of 33 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Rosa ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 33 of 58. Of all the significant strikes, she was 25 of 47 to the head. 62% of the significant strikes connected on by Cornolle and 42% of them connected on by Rosa were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Luana Santos, she squared up with Melissa Croden and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Croden landed 81% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Santos ended up connecting on 83% of her significant strikes at distance. Santos connected on 50% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 12 of 24. She connected on 6 of 16 significant strikes directed at the head. Croden landed 22 of 74 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 9 of 53 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that she let go in that fight, Croden ended up connecting on 56 of 109 while Santos connected on 93 of 110 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Manel Kape fights Kyoji Horiguchi. Kape has a career record of 22-7-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 68". Horiguchi measures 5'4" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 36-5-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 63". When it comes to grappling, Manel Kape gets his opposition to the mat 0.40 times per 15 minutes and Kyoji Horiguchi is averaging a takedown 1.61 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Kape connects on 5.04 strikes per min and connecting on 56% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Kyoji Horiguchi, who is landing 47% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.77 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Navajo Stirling is set to square up in the Octagon against Ion Cutelaba. Cutelaba comes into this bout with a record of 20-11-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Stirling measures in at 6'4" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old reaches 79". When it comes to takedowns, Ion Cutelaba curbs 75% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 49% of his attempts. Stirling is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of his tries and defends against 82% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Cutelaba is taking 3.28 strikes per min and he dishes out 4.23 strikes per min. Stirling, notwithstanding, is taking 2.67 strikes per minute and is dealing 6.25 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Luana Santos (-112)

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Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

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