Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown Pick, 04/11/2026 Predictions UFC 327 Odds

Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown

UFC 327

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 11, 2026

Kevin Holland will enter the Octagon against Randy Brown at UFC 327 on Saturday, April 11, 2026. The opening odds have Holland at +111 while Brown is at -131.

Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland steps into the cage holding a mark of 28-15-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 81". Randy "Rudeboy" Brown measures 6'3" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-7-0. The 35-year-old reaches 78". With respect to significant strikes, Kevin Holland is connecting on 4.26 per minute while Randy Brown is connecting on 4.49 significant strikes per minute. Holland is landing 49% of the significant strikes he tries and Brown lands 47%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Trailblazer" takes 3.22 significant strikes per min and "Rudeboy" takes 3.33. Holland also curbs 50% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Brown prevents 54% of them.

In terms of grappling, Kevin Holland is the better grappler as he scores a takedown 0.83 times per 3 rds. Holland is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of the times he tries and is stuffing 56% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Brown is taking his opponents to the canvas on 39% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 73% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Holland is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.5 subs per 3 rounds while Brown tries 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Kevin Holland squared up with Mike Malott and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Malott landed 50 of 99 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Holland ended the night having landed 76 of 162 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Malott landed 49 of 95, giving him a percentage of 51%. He ended up landing 35 of 73 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Holland ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes by connecting on 52 of 137. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 23 of 96 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Malott and 94% of them connected on by Holland were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Randy Brown, he battled Gabriel Bonfim and was on the losing end of this fight by a knee to the head in round 2. Bonfim connected on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Brown ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Brown ended up connecting on 37% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 33 of 87. He ended up landing 11 of 48 significant strikes directed at the head. Bonfim ended up connecting on 35 of 64 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 36 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Bonfim was 35 of 64 while Brown ended up landing 33 of 87 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mateusz Gamrot squares up against Esteban Ribovics. Gamrot comes into this bout holding a record of 25-4-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Ribovics measures 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 15-2-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 69". Regarding grappling, Mateusz Gamrot is averaging a takedown 5.15 times per 15 minutes while Esteban Ribovics is averaging a takedown 0.39 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Gamrot lands an average of 3.29 strikes per min and is landing 51% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Esteban Ribovics, who tags the opposition on 43% of his attempted strikes and is landing 8.09 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when MarQuel Mederos is set to go up against Chris Padilla. Padilla steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Mederos measures in at 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-1-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of wrestling, Chris Padilla is preventing 75% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of his attempts. Mederos is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts and thwarts 83% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Padilla is taking 3.87 strikes/min while he is dishing out 4.78 strikes per minute. Mederos, moreover, is absorbing 2.99 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.84 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kevin Holland (+111)

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