Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds

Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita

UFC 334

Madison Square Garden in New York City

Saturday, November 14, 2026

Macy Chiasson will face off against Bia Mesquita at UFC 334 on Saturday, November 14, 2026. The opening moneyline has Chiasson at +222 while Mesquita is coming in at -270.

Macy Chiasson comes into this bout holding a record of 11-6-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Bia "The Lady GOAT" Mesquita comes in at 5'4" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 8-0-0. The 35-year-old stretches 67". Concerning significant strikes, Macy Chiasson is landing 3.21 per minute while Bia Mesquita is landing 4.52 significant strikes per min. Chiasson connects on 46% of the significant strikes she tries and Mesquita lands 57%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Chiasson takes 2.76 significant strikes per minute while "The Lady GOAT" takes 1.27. Chiasson also defends 44% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Mesquita is able to deflect 71% of the strikes thrown her way.

Concerning takedowns, Macy Chiasson is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.87 times per 15 min. Chiasson is scoring a takedown on 35% of her tries and is defending 62% of all takedown attempts. Mesquita is scoring a takedown on 75% of her takedown tries and stopping 15% of the attempts against her. Regarding subbing opponents, Chiasson is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Mesquita tries 3.6 subs per 3 rounds.

Get all of our UFC Betting Picks

The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Macy Chiasson went up against Ailin Perez and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Perez landed 68 of 83 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Chiasson ended the night having landed 41 of 74 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Perez landed 27 of 38, which gave her a rate of 71%. She ended up landing 14 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Chiasson ended up landing 34% of her significant strikes by connecting on 8 of 23. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 4 of 16 aimed at the head. 29% of the significant strikes landed by Perez and 12% of them connected on by Chiasson were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Bia Mesquita, she battled Melissa Mullins and wound up taking home the victory via an armbar in round 1. Mullins ended up connecting on 80% of her significant strikes at distance and Mesquita connected on 100% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Mesquita landed 30% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 3 of 10. She ended up landing 2 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Mullins landed 10 of 25 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she ended up landing 8 of 23 to the head. In relation to total strikes that she let go in that fight, Mullins ended up landing 13 of 28 while Mesquita landed 28 of 37 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ciryl Gane opposes Josh Hokit. Gane walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-2-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old weighs in at 247 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 81". Hokit stands in at 6'1" and weighs 235 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 10-0-0. The 28-year-old reaches 73". When it comes to grappling, Ciryl Gane gets a takedown 0.66 times per 3 rds and Josh Hokit is able to score a takedown 3.73 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Gane lands an average of 5.40 strikes/min and connects on 61% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Josh Hokit, who is connecting on 64% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 9.29 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Yousri Belgaroui is set to square up against Caio Borralho. Borralho walks into the Octagon with a record of 18-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Belgaroui measures in at 6'6" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 11-3-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 79". Concerning grappling, Caio Borralho is able to thwart 76% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries. Belgaroui is taking his opponents down on 100% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 66% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Borralho takes 2.61 strikes per min while he is landing 3.47 per min. Belgaroui, in contrast, is taking 2.28 strikes per minute and connects on 6.44 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bia Mesquita (-270)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Most Recent UFC Picks

• Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds
• Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland Pick, 11/14/2026 Predictions UFC 334 Odds