Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert Pick, 04/18/2026 Predictions UFC Winnipeg Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/17/2026

Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert

UFC Winnipeg

Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg

Saturday, April 18, 2026

Mandel Nallo will face off against Jai Herbert at UFC Winnipeg on Saturday, April 18, 2026. The odds have Nallo priced at -170 while Herbert is at +145.

Mandel "Mango" Nallo walks into the cage with a mark of 14-3-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Jai "Black Country Banger" Herbert measures in at 6'1" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-6-1. The 37-year-old stretches 77". When talking about significant strikes, Mandel Nallo lands 8.61 per min and Jai Herbert connects on 3.07 significant strikes per minute. Nallo is connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he tries while Herbert is landing 40%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Mango" takes 2.58 significant strikes per min and "Black Country Banger" allows 3.26. Nallo also curbs 72% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Herbert is able to thwart 53% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Jai Herbert predictions best bet odds

UFC Winnipeg	Mandel Nallo	Jai Herbert
Opening Odds	-170	+145
Record	14-3-0 (1 NC)	13-6-1
Average Fight Time	3:29	11:40
Height	6'0"	6'1"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	75"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	8.61	3.07
Striking Accuracy	62%	40%

In the category of takedowns, Mandel Nallo is the more apt wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. Nallo is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries and is defending 80% of the takedowns his opponents try. Herbert is taking his opponents to the mat on 21% of his takedown attempts and is defending 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Nallo is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rds while Herbert looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Mandel Nallo faced Samuel Silva and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Silva landed 9 of 33 total strikes attempted in that fight. Nallo walked away from this fight having landed 30 of 48 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Silva landed 9 of 33, which gave him a rate of 27%. He landed 5 of 28 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Nallo landed 62% of his significant strikes by sticking 30 of 48. Of those significant strikes, he landed 18 of 32 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Silva and 86% of them connected on by Nallo were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Jai Herbert, he faced off with Chris Padilla and wound up taking the loss by way of split decision in round 3. Padilla landed 89% of his significant strikes at distance while Herbert ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Herbert connected on 31% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 38 of 122. He ended up connecting on 19 of 92 significant strikes aimed at the head. Padilla ended up connecting on 39 of 98 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 20 of 60 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Padilla ended up connecting on 88 of 147 and Herbert connected on 59 of 143 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Thiago Moises squares up with Gauge Young. Moises will be looking to add a win to his career record of 19-9-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Young comes in at 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 10-3-0. The 25-year-old stretches 70". In the grappling category, Thiago Moises gets a takedown 1.31 times per 15 minutes and Gauge Young is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Moises lands an average of 2.48 strikes/minute and is landing 42% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Gauge Young, who is landing 51% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 5.71 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Marcio Barbosa is set to go up against Dennis Buzukja. Buzukja will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-5-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Barbosa comes in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 17-2-0. The 27-year-old reaches 70". Concerning grappling, Dennis Buzukja is able to curb 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 27% of the times he tries. Barbosa is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts and prevents 80% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Buzukja absorbs 4.82 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.21 strikes per minute. Barbosa, at the same time, is taking 7.56 strikes per minute and is dishing out 8.27 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mandel Nallo (-170)

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Mandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert Pick, 04/18/2026 Predictions UFC Winnipeg Odds

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