Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr Pick, 10/17/2026 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds
Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr
UFC Edmonton
Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Mandel Nallo will face off with Nate Landwehr at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026. The opening line has Nallo coming in at -265 while Landwehr is priced at +219.
Mandel "Mango" Nallo has a mark of 14-4-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Nate "The Train" Landwehr measures 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 18-8-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding significant strikes, Mandel Nallo connects on 8.26 per min while Nate Landwehr connects on 5.55 significant strikes per minute. Nallo is landing 58% of the significant strikes he throws while Landwehr lands 45%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Mango" allows 5.03 significant strikes per minute and "The Train" allows 5.96. Nallo also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Landwehr defends against 51% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Edmonton | Mandel Nallo | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -265 | +219 |
| Record | 14-4-0 (1 NC) | 18-8-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 2:47 | 9:21 |
| Height | 6'0" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 8.26 | 5.55 |
| Striking Accuracy | 58% | 45% |
Regarding grappling, Mandel Nallo is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Nallo is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his tries and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Landwehr is finishing his takedowns on 41% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Nallo is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.4 subs per 15 minutes while Landwehr tries 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.
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In his previous fight, Mandel Nallo fought Jai Herbert and ended up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Herbert ended up landing 30 of 43 total strikes attempted in that fight. Nallo ended the night having landed 16 of 31 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Herbert landed 19 of 28, which gave him a percentage of 67%. He landed 18 of 27 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Nallo ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 16 of 31. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 13 of 28 aimed at the head. 36% of the significant strikes connected on by Herbert and 93% of them landed by Nallo were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Nate Landwehr, he battled Cub Swanson and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Swanson connected on 94% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Landwehr landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Landwehr landed 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 15 of 30. He landed 9 of 22 significant strikes aimed at the head. Swanson ended up landing 37 of 49 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 23 of 33 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Swanson ended up landing 40 of 52 while Landwehr landed 15 of 30 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tanner Boser encounters Jhonata Diniz. Boser steps into the cage with a mark of 22-11-1. The 35-year-old will fight at 245 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Diniz comes in at 6'4" and tips the scales at 254 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 9-2-0. The 35-year-old stretches 79". When it comes to grappling, Tanner Boser takes his opponents to the canvas 0.90 times per 3 rounds and Jhonata Diniz takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Boser lands 4.82 strikes per min and lands 53% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Jhonata Diniz, who is connecting on 56% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 3.89 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Nick Galanti is set to clash with Julien Leblanc. Leblanc looks to add a win to his total of 10-3-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 74". Galanti comes in at 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding wrestling, Julien Leblanc prevents 15% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries. Galanti is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 15% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Leblanc absorbs 2.96 strikes/min while he is dealing 1.69 per min. Galanti, notwithstanding, absorbs 1.71 strikes per min and is dishing out 13.71 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Nate Landwehr (+219)
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