Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/19/2026

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi

UFC Vegas 119

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Manel Kape will face off with Kyoji Horiguchi at UFC Vegas 119 on Saturday, June 20, 2026. The opening line has Kape coming in at -155 while Horiguchi is priced at +135.

Manel "StarBoy" Kape will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 22-7-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Kyoji "Karate Kid" Horiguchi measures 5'4" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 36-5-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has an arm span of 63". In the category of significant strikes, Manel Kape is landing 5.04 per min and Kyoji Horiguchi connects on 3.77 significant strikes per minute. Kape connects on 56% of the significant strikes he attempts while Horiguchi connects on 47%. In terms of defending themselves, "StarBoy" allows 4.08 significant strikes per min and "Karate Kid" absorbs 2.13. Kape also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Horiguchi is able to deflect 63% of them.

ufc picks Manel Kape ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 119	Manel Kape	Kyoji Horiguchi
Opening Odds	-155	+135
Record	22-7-0	36-5-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	11:08	14:00
Height	5'5"	5'4"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	68"	63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.04	3.77
Striking Accuracy	56%	47%

Concerning grappling, Manel Kape is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. Kape is scoring a takedown on 30% of his attempts and is stopping 81% of the takedowns his opponents try. Horiguchi is scoring a takedown on 40% of his takedown attempts and is defending 61% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Kape is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rds while Horiguchi tries 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Manel Kape fought Brandon Royval and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Royval ended up landing 17 of 26 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Kape walked away from this fight having landed 18 of 24 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Royval landed 17 of 26, which gave him a percentage of 65%. He landed 5 of 10 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Kape landed 73% of his significant strikes by sticking 17 of 23. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 6 of 10 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Royval and 88% of them connected on by Kape were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kyoji Horiguchi, he faced off with Amir Albazi and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Albazi ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Horiguchi ended up landing 97% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Horiguchi connected on 53% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 73 of 136. He connected on 65 of 123 significant strikes aimed at the head. Albazi connected on 16 of 67 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 12 of 62 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Albazi connected on 20 of 75 and Horiguchi ended up landing 99 of 163 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ion Cutelaba squares up against Navajo Stirling. Cutelaba holds a mark of 20-11-1 (1 NC). The 32-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Stirling measures 6'4" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 79". Regarding grappling, Ion Cutelaba gets a takedown 3.76 times per 3 rounds while Navajo Stirling takes his opponents to the canvas 0.98 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Cutelaba lands an average of 4.23 strikes per minute and connecting on 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Navajo Stirling, who is connecting on 52% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 6.25 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Christian Rodriguez is set to fight Hyder Amil. Amil will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 11-2-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Rodriguez stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of wrestling, Hyder Amil is able to deflect 65% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 18% of his tries. Rodriguez is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his attempts and deflects 67% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Amil takes 3.95 strikes per min and he dishes out 5.81 strikes per min. Rodriguez, moreover, is taking 2.85 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.85 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Manel Kape (-155)

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Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi Pick, 06/20/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 119 Odds

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