Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/27/2026

Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui

UFC Seattle

Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Mansur Abdul-Malik will take on Yousri Belgaroui at UFC Seattle on Saturday, March 28, 2026. The opener has Abdul-Malik at -138 while Belgaroui is priced at +118.

Mansur Abdul-Malik walks into the cage with a mark of 9-0-1. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Yousri Belgaroui comes in at 6'6" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 9-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 79". With respect to significant strikes, Mansur Abdul-Malik is landing 4.18 per min while Yousri Belgaroui lands 5.82 significant strikes per minute. Abdul-Malik is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Belgaroui is connecting on 66%. When it comes to defending themselves, Abdul-Malik takes 3.46 significant strikes per min and Belgaroui absorbs 2.52. Abdul-Malik also stops 51% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Belgaroui thwarts 61% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Mansur Abdul-Malik ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Seattle	Mansur Abdul-Malik	Yousri Belgaroui
Opening Odds	-138	+118
Record	9-0-1	9-3-0
Average Fight Time	6:22	12:50
Height	6'2"	6'6"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	80"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.18	5.82
Striking Accuracy	48%	66%

In terms of grappling, Mansur Abdul-Malik is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.94 times per 3 rds. Abdul-Malik is scoring a takedown on 50% of the times he tries and stopping 83% of all takedown tries against him. Belgaroui is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 68% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of submissions, Abdul-Malik is the more able fighter by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rds while Belgaroui goes for 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Mansur Abdul-Malik fought Antonio Trocoli and wound up getting the victory via a guillotine choke in round 1. Trocoli ended up landing 3 of 6 total strikes that he let go. Abdul-Malik walked away from this fight having landed 2 of 4 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Trocoli landed 3 of 6, which gave him a rate of 50%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 4 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Abdul-Malik ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 2 of 4. Of those significant strikes, he was 2 of 4 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Trocoli and 50% of them connected on by Abdul-Malik were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Yousri Belgaroui, he faced off with Azamat Bekoev and wound up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 3. Bekoev ended up landing 91% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Belgaroui ended up connecting on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Belgaroui ended up landing 73% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 102 of 138. He landed 73 of 108 significant strikes aimed at the head. Bekoev landed 24 of 77 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 18 of 71 to the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Bekoev connected on 27 of 83 and Belgaroui ended up connecting on 110 of 148 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Terrance McKinney enters the Octagon against Kyle Nelson. McKinney looks to add a win to his record of 17-8-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Nelson stands in at 5'11" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-6-1. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 71". When it comes to grappling, Terrance McKinney takes his opponents down 3.34 times per 15 minutes and Kyle Nelson scores a takedown 1.18 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, McKinney is connecting on 6.24 strikes per minute and is connecting on 56% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Kyle Nelson, who tags his opponent on 45% of his attempted strikes and is landing 3.60 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Tofiq Musayev is set to square up against Ignacio Bahamondes. Bahamondes will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-6-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Musayev comes in at 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 22-6-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding takedowns, Ignacio Bahamondes is stopping 75% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 15% of the times he tries. Musayev is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 40% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Bahamondes takes 4.33 strikes/min while he deals 6.55 strikes per min. Musayev, moreover, is taking 0.44 strikes/min and is connecting on 0.44 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Yousri Belgaroui (+118)

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Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui Pick, 03/28/2026 Predictions UFC Seattle Odds

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