Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli Pick, 03/21/2026 Predictions UFC London Odds
Mantas Kondratavicius vs Antonio Trocoli
UFC London
O2 Arena in London
Saturday, March 21, 2026
Mantas Kondratavicius will take on Antonio Trocoli at UFC London on Saturday, March 21, 2026. The opener has Kondratavicius at -750 while Trocoli is coming in at +550.
Mantas Kondratavicius comes into this fight with a record of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Antonio "Malvado" Trocoli measures 6'5" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 12-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old extends his reach 80". Concerning significant strikes, Mantas Kondratavicius lands 4.55 per min and Antonio Trocoli is connecting on 1.37 significant strikes per min. Kondratavicius lands 33% of the significant strikes he attempts and Trocoli connects on 50%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Kondratavicius takes 3.64 significant strikes per minute while "Malvado" takes 5.55. Kondratavicius also curbs 60% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Trocoli is able to stop 24% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC London | Mantas Kondratavicius | Antonio Trocoli |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -750 | +550 |
| Record | 8-1-0 | 12-6-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 1:06 | 4:44 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'5" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 80" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.55 | 1.37 |
| Striking Accuracy | 33% | 50% |
When it comes to grappling, Mantas Kondratavicius is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 13.64 times per 3 rounds. Kondratavicius is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his tries and is stuffing 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Trocoli is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 33% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Kondratavicius is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.6 finishes per 3 rds while Trocoli attempts 0.8 finishes per 15 min.
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In his previous fight, Mantas Kondratavicius fought Djani Barbir and got a win for the night via a punch to the head in round 1. Barbir landed 4 of 10 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Kondratavicius ended the night having landed 5 of 15 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Barbir landed 4 of 10, which means his percentage was 40%. He finished the fight landing 3 of 9 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Kondratavicius landed 33% of his significant strikes by sticking 5 of 15. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 4 of 14 aimed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes connected on by Barbir and 40% of them connected on by Kondratavicius were done at distance.
In the last bout for Antonio Trocoli, he faced off with Mansur Abdul-Malik and wound up taking the loss by a guillotine choke in round 1. Abdul-Malik ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Trocoli ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Trocoli ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 3 of 6. He ended up connecting on 2 of 4 significant strikes to the head. Abdul-Malik landed 2 of 4 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 2 of 4 to the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Abdul-Malik was 2 of 4 while Trocoli was 3 of 6 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Louie Sutherland goes up against Brando Pericic. Sutherland steps into the Octagon holding a record of 10-4-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 264 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Pericic comes in at 6'5" and is weighing in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 5-1-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 79". In the grappling category, Louie Sutherland takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 3 rounds and Brando Pericic takes his opponents down 0.90 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Sutherland connects on 2.14 strikes per minute and connects on 60% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Brando Pericic, who connects on 59% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 15.13 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady is set to take on Shem Rock. Rock will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-2-1. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 73". Al-Selwady measures in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-4-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of wrestling, Shem Rock curbs 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 11% of his tries. Al-Selwady is taking his opponents down on 30% of his attempts and is able to stop 20% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Rock is absorbing 3.40 strikes per min and he lands 2.93 per minute. Al-Selwady, moreover, is taking 3.60 strikes per min and is dishing out 4.14 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mantas Kondratavicius (-750)
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