Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds

Marcus Buchecha vs Ryan Spann

UFC Vegas 116

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Marcus Buchecha will enter the Octagon against Ryan Spann at UFC Vegas 116 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. The line has Buchecha priced at -135 while Spann is priced at +115.

Marcus Buchecha steps into the Octagon holding a record of 5-2-1. The 36-year-old is fighting at 255 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Ryan "Superman" Spann measures in at 6'5" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 23-11-0. The 34-year-old stretches 79". In terms of significant strikes, Marcus Buchecha connects on 1.70 per min while Ryan Spann is connecting on 3.19 significant strikes per minute. Buchecha is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Spann is landing 39%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Buchecha takes 2.17 significant strikes per min and "Superman" absorbs 4.14. Buchecha also prevents 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Spann prevents 43% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In terms of grappling, Marcus Buchecha is the more skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 2.00 times per 15 minutes. Buchecha is getting his opponent to the mat on 16% of the times he tries and is stuffing 10% of all takedown attempts. Spann is finishing his takedowns on 34% of his takedown tries and is defending 52% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Buchecha is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.5 subs per 15 min while Spann looks to get 1.8 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Marcus Buchecha went up against Kennedy Nzechukwu and ended up in a draw by unanimous decision in round 3. Nzechukwu ended up landing 58 of 87 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Buchecha walked away from this fight having landed 47 of 66 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Nzechukwu ended up landing 24 of 48, which gave him a rate of 50%. He landed 21 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Buchecha landed 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 27 of 44. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 23 of 38 to the head. 54% of the significant strikes connected on by Nzechukwu and 7% of them connected on by Buchecha were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Ryan Spann, he faced off with Lukasz Brzeski and wound up getting the victory by way of a guillotine choke in round 1. Brzeski ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Spann ended up landing 25% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Spann connected on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 8 of 19. He connected on 8 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Brzeski ended up connecting on 5 of 8 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 4 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Brzeski ended up landing 23 of 28 while Spann landed 8 of 19 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Rodolfo Vieira meets Eric McConico. Vieira looks to add a win to his record of 11-4-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". McConico measures 6'0" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-4-1. The 35-year-old stretches 77". In the grappling category, Rodolfo Vieira is averaging a takedown 2.70 times per 15 min and Eric McConico takes his opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Vieira is connecting on 3.55 strikes/min and connects on 53% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Eric McConico, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 2.61 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Sedriques Dumas is set to square up in the Octagon against Jackson McVey. McVey has a mark of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 77". Dumas measures in at 6'2" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-4-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old extends his reach 79". Regarding wrestling, Jackson McVey is able to deflect 10% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 10% of his attempts. Dumas is finishing his takedowns on 31% of his attempts and is able to thwart 33% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, McVey absorbs 3.82 strikes per minute and he is connecting on 5.87 strikes per min. Dumas, at the same time, is absorbing 2.41 strikes per minute and is connecting on 2.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Marcus Buchecha (-135)

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