Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela Pick, 04/25/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 116 Odds
Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela
UFC Vegas 116
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, April 25, 2026
Max Griffin will enter the Octagon with Victor Valenzuela at UFC Vegas 116 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. The odds have Griffin at +120 while Valenzuela is priced at -140.
Max "Pain" Griffin walks into the Octagon with a record of 20-12-0. The 40-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Victor "Psicosis" Valenzuela measures 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 71". Regarding significant strikes, Max Griffin connects on 3.76 per minute and Victor Valenzuela lands 3.36 significant strikes per min. Griffin connects on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts while Valenzuela lands 33%. In terms of defending themselves, "Pain" allows 3.70 significant strikes per minute while "Psicosis" absorbs 8.40. Griffin also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Valenzuela is able to curb 48% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 116 | Max Griffin | Victor Valenzuela |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +120 | -140 |
| Record | 20-12-0 | 13-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:02 | 8:56 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 76" | 71" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.76 | 3.36 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 33% |
Regarding takedowns, Max Griffin is the more capable wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.28 times per 3 rounds. Griffin is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his attempts and stopping 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. Valenzuela is scoring a takedown on 10% of his takedown tries and is defending 10% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to subbing opponents, Griffin is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Valenzuela looks to get 0.8 finishes per 15 min.
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In his previous bout, Max Griffin fought Chris Curtis and wound up losing the fight by split decision in round 3. Curtis landed 71 of 162 total strikes that he let go. Griffin finished this fight landing 63 of 185 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Curtis landed 64 of 155, which means his percentage was 41%. He landed 44 of 132 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Griffin ended up landing 33% of his significant strikes by sticking 59 of 178. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 38 of 147 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes landed by Curtis and 98% of them landed by Griffin were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Victor Valenzuela, he battled Michael Oliveira and was defeated by a punch to the head in round 2. Oliveira landed 89% of his significant strikes at distance and Valenzuela ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Valenzuela landed 33% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 30 of 89. He ended up landing 16 of 73 significant strikes aimed at the head. Oliveira landed 75 of 146 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 57 of 124 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Oliveira landed 76 of 147 while Valenzuela connected on 33 of 92 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to keep an eye on
One more match to look forward to is when Norma Dumont squares up against Joselyne Edwards. Dumont will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-2-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Edwards comes in at 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 17-6-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 70". In terms of takedowns, Norma Dumont is able to score a takedown 1.56 times per 3 rounds while Joselyne Edwards is able to score a takedown 1.43 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Dumont is landing 3.89 strikes/min and lands 50% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Joselyne Edwards, who is landing 53% of the strikes she has thrown and lands 4.61 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Michelle Montague is set to take on Mayra Bueno Silva. Bueno Silva steps into the Octagon with a mark of 10-6-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Montague measures 5'9" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 7-0-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 68". Concerning grappling, Mayra Bueno Silva thwarts 63% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 23% of her tries. Montague is finishing her takedown tries on 71% of her tries and is able to defend against 0% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Bueno Silva is taking 4.90 strikes/minute and she is landing 3.71 strikes per minute. Montague, on the other side, is taking 3.20 strikes per min and is dealing 2.73 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Max Griffin (+120)
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