Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/6/2026

Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira

UFC 326

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Max Holloway will battle Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The moneyline has Holloway at -200 while Oliveira is priced at +170.

Max "Blessed" Holloway steps into the Octagon with a record of 27-8-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Charles "Do Bronxs" Oliveira stands 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 36-11-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has an arm span of 74". When talking about significant strikes, Max Holloway connects on 7.20 per min and Charles Oliveira lands 3.35 significant strikes per minute. Holloway lands 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Oliveira is connecting on 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Blessed" absorbs 4.74 significant strikes per min and "Do Bronxs" takes 3.24. Holloway also curbs 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Oliveira prevents 49% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Max Holloway ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 326	Max Holloway	Charles Oliveira
Opening Odds	-200	+170
Record	27-8-0	36-11-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	16:23	7:30
Height	5'11"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	69"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	7.20	3.35
Striking Accuracy	48%	54%

In terms of takedowns, Max Holloway is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.24 times per 15 minutes. Holloway is scoring a takedown on 53% of his attempts and stuffing 83% of the attempts against him. Oliveira is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 54% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the submission, Holloway is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rds while Oliveira tries 2.6 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Max Holloway went up against Dustin Poirier and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 5. Poirier landed 109 of 255 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Holloway finished this fight landing 201 of 378 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Poirier landed 109 of 255, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He finished the fight landing 94 of 235 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Holloway landed 52% of his significant strikes by connecting on 198 of 375. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 103 of 253 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Poirier and 91% of them connected on by Holloway were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Charles Oliveira, he battled Mateusz Gamrot and ended up winning this fight via rear naked choke in round 2. Gamrot ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Oliveira ended up landing 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Oliveira landed 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 11 of 33. He landed 4 of 21 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gamrot ended up landing 18 of 42 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 16 of 40 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Gamrot ended up connecting on 18 of 43 while Oliveira landed 18 of 40 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Caio Borralho goes up against Reinier de Ridder. Borralho walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-2-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". de Ridder stands in at 6'4" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 21-3-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding grappling, Caio Borralho scores a takedown 1.28 times per 3 rds while Reinier de Ridder takes his opponents to the mat 2.68 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Borralho connects on 3.44 strikes/minute and landing 56% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Reinier de Ridder, who tags the opposition on 53% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 2.20 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Raul Rosas Jr. is set to go up against Rob Font. Font walks into the Octagon holding a record of 22-9-0. The 38-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Rosas Jr. measures 5'9" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 11-1-0. The 21-year-old reaches 67". In terms of grappling, Rob Font is stopping 43% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 30% of the times he tries. Rosas Jr. is finishing his takedowns on 41% of the attempts he tries and defends against 10% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Font absorbs 3.70 strikes per minute while he deals 5.36 per minute. Rosas Jr., on the other side, absorbs 1.37 strikes per min and is connecting on 1.51 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Max Holloway (-200)

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Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira Pick, 03/07/2026 Predictions UFC 326 Odds

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